Wednesday, 22 March 2023

Emami Limited Buyback Offer 2023 - vrk100 - 22Mar2023

Emami Limited Buyback Offer 2023

 


 

 

(Updates 13Apr2023, 29Mar2023, 28Mar2023, 24Mar2023 are available below. Even though this blog was posted originally on 22Mar2023, I will be continually updating this blog whenever new information is made available on the buyback offer.) 

 


Emami Limited, a listed company in India, on 21Mar2023 announced that its board of directors would meet on 24Mar2023 to consider a buyback proposal for its fully paid-up equity shares of Re 1 face value each. The announcement was made after closure of market hours on 21Mar2023.

2. The date of announcement (that is, 21Mar2023) is significant because it's exactly one year from the date of closure of its 2022 buyback, which started on 09Feb2022 and closed on 21Mar2022.
 
3. As per the guidelines of India's capital market regulator, Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), there should be a minimum gap of one year between two buyback proposals.
 

(story continues below)

(I have, over the years, analysed a number of companies' buyback offers. You can check them in the related blogs section below)

-------------------

Related Blogs:

When Is The Next Buyback Offer Likely To Be? 

Ajanta Pharma Buyback Offer 2023

Natco Pharma Buyback Offer 2023

Indian Energy Exchange Buyback Offer 2022

Jagran Prakashan Buyback Offer 2022

Kaveri Seed Company Buyback Offer 2022

Infosys Limited Buyback Offer 2022

Zydus Lifesciences Buyback Offer 2022

FDC Limited Buyback Offer 2022

GE Shipping Company Buyback Offer 2021  

Kaveri Seed Company buyback offer 2021

Crompton Greaves Buyback Offer 2013

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4. The company's share price on 21Mar2023 was Rs 345 per share, with a market cap of Rs 15,200 crore. Reacting positively to the buyback proposal, the share price rose by 6.20 percent to close at Rs 366.40 on 22Mar2023, with a market cap of Rs 16,160 crore.
 
5. Company's valuation and peer comparison as at close of 22Mar2023 >
 




6. Timeline of activities to be watched: Table 1 >
 

 
7. The company in the recent past made two buyback offers, both through the 'open market via stock exchanges' mechanism, not including the current buyback proposal. Details are in table 2 > 


8. Table 3 showing percentage of shares cancelled in the past two offers > 


 
Update 24Mar2023

9. As scheduled, the board of the company met on 24Mar2023 and approved the buyback proposal via 'open market through stock exchanges' route. The share price on 24Mar2023 closed at Rs 360 per share, with a market cap of Rs 15,880 crore.
 
10. As per Regulation 15 (i) of Securities and Exchange Board of India (Buyback of Securities) Regulations, 2018 (as amended by SEBI on 09Feb2023 effective 09Mar2023), a minimum of 75 percent of the total buyback amount set aside (maximum buyback size) should be used by the company in the total period of the buyback offer.

11. As per Regulation 15 (ii) of Securities and Exchange Board of India (Buyback of Securities) Regulations, 2018 (as amended by SEBI on 09Feb2023 effective 09Mar2023), a minimum of 40 percent of the total buyback amount set aside (maximum buyback size) should be used within first half of the specified duration of opening and closing of buyback proposal.
 
Details are updated in tables 2 and 4 below >



 
Update 28Mar2023

12. On 27Mar2023, the company announced more details about the buyback offer:

a) as per Regulation 17 (ii) of Securities and Exchange Board of India (Buyback of Securities) Regulations, 2018 (as amended by SEBI on 09Feb2023 effective 09Mar2023), the Buyback Offer shall open not later than four Working Days from the date of the Record Date and shall close within sixty-six Working Days from the date of the opening of the Buyback;
 
b) as such, Emami Limited has fixed 12Apr2023 as the record date * for the purpose of determining only the opening of Buyback in this 'open market' buyback route; and
 
( * important clarification: the record date for determining only the opening of buyback used in 'open market' buyback route should not be confused with record date for determining the entitlement and names of shareholders who are eligible to participate in 'tender offer' buyback route' -- in the 'open market' route of buyback offers, there is no concept of record date for determining the entitlement and eligibility of shareholders to participate in a buyback)
 
c) so, the buyback will open on 13Apr2023 and close on 19Jul2023 (which fulfills Regulation 17 (ii) cited above).
 
Company announcement on Record Date >

 
 
SEBI Regulation 17 (ii) of SEBI Buyback Regulations >
 



 
Update 29Mar2023

13. On 28Mar2023, the company made a public announcement giving full details of the buyback offer -- an extract of the resolutions of the Board meeting held on 24Mar2023 and 27Mar2023 is enclosed to the public announcement. Key highlights from public announcement are:

-- the Company shall not make any offer of buyback within a period of one year from the date of closure of the buyback
 
-- as per provisions of Companies Act, 2013 and SEBI Buyback Regulations, 2018, an approval from the shareholders of the company undertaking buyback is required if the Maximum Buyback Size is more than 10 percent of the total paid-up capital and free reserves (free reserves include general reserve and retained earnings) of the Company based on lower of standalone and consolidated audited financial statements of the Company as on latest available balance sheet; if the maximum buyback size is not more than 10 percent of the total paid-up capital and free reserves of the Company, an approval from the Board of Directors is sufficient to undertake a buyback 


-- in the case of Emami Limited, the Maximum Buyback Size is not more than 10 percent of the total paid-up capital and free reserves of the company based on lower of standalone and consolidated audited financial statements of the Company as on March 31, 2022 -- as such  approval from the shareholders of the Company is not required (the Board approval required for the Buyback was granted by the Board on 24Mar2023) -- screenshot is enclosed



 
14. When can Emami Ltd close the buyback?

The last date for closure of the buyback is earlier of:

a) sixty six Working Days (that is, 19Jul2023) from the date of the opening of the Buyback; or

(b) when the Company completes the Buyback by deploying the amount equivalent to the Maximum Buyback Size; or

(c) at such earlier date as may be decided by the Board of Directors, after giving notice of such earlier closure, subject to the Company having deployed an amount equivalent to the Minimum Buyback Size (even if the Maximum Buyback Size has not been reached or the Maximum Buyback Shares have not been bought back) -- however, that all payment obligations relating to the Buyback shall be completed before the last date for the Buyback.

Update 13Apr2023

15. The buyback offer (via stock exchanges' open market route) opens today and closes on date as mentioned in para 14 above. The stock closed yesterday at Rs 359.50 per share, with a market cap of Rs 15,860 crore.

 

 

(I'll be updating this blog as and when new developments take place in relation to the buyback offer -- to comment on business model, profit, solvency, liquidity, shareholding pattern, MF holdings, whether buyback from debt, capital allocation optimal, etc.)  


- - - 

 

 

References:

BSE weblink for buyback offer 2023

BSE weblink cumulative shares bought back in buyback offer 2023

post-buyback announcement dated 22Mar2022

post-buyback announcement 10Jul2020

 


-------------------
 
Read more:  
 
When Is The Next Buyback Offer Likely To Be?
 
Ajanta Pharma Buyback Offer 2023
 
Natco Pharma Buyback Offer 2023
 
When Will US Federal Reserve Stop Hiking Interest Rates?
 
Why Do Indian Equity Mutual Funds Always Disappoint Investors?

Adani Stocks Meltdown and Nifty Next 50 Index

Are Indian Stocks Immune to Adani stock Meltdown?

Meltdown in Adani group Listed Stocks

Why the Divergence Between Sensex and Nifty 50 in Today's Trade?

Indian Stock Market Moves Fully to T+1 Settlement

NSE Indices Comparison 31Dec2022

BSE 500 vs S&P 500 Indices Compare 31Dec2022

India Up the Ladder in MSCI EM Index 

New Rules on Ex-date and Record date

Crisil Report - Big Shift in Financialisation 

Weblinks and Investing

-------------------

 

Disclosure:  I've vested interested in Indian stocks and other investments. It's safe to assume I've interest in the financial instruments / products discussed, if any.

Disclaimer: The analysis and opinion provided here are only for information purposes and should not be construed as investment advice. Investors should consult their own financial advisers before making any investments. The author is a CFA Charterholder with a vested interest in financial markets. 

CFA Charter credentials  - CFA Member Profile

CFA Badge

 

He blogs at:

https://ramakrishnavadlamudi.blogspot.com/

https://www.scribd.com/vrk100

Twitter @vrk100

 

 

When Is The Next Buyback Offer Likely To Be? - vrk100 - 22Mar2023

When Is The Next Buyback Offer Likely To Be?

 

(This is for information purposes only. This should not be construed as a recommendation or investment advice. Please consult your financial adviser before taking any investment decision. Safe to assume the author has a vested interest in stocks / investments discussed if any.)

 

Emami Limited, a listed company in India, on 21Mar2023 announced that its board of directors would meet on 24Mar2023 to consider a buyback proposal for its fully paid-up equity shares.

The date of announcement (that is, 21Mar2023) is significant because it's exactly one year from the date of closure of its 2022 buyback, which started on 09Feb2022 and closed on 21Mar2022. It may be mentioned the 2022 buyback offer was through 'open market via stock exchanges' route.
 
As per the norms of India's capital market regulator, Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), there should be a minimum gap of one year between two buyback proposals.
 
 

(story continues below)

(I have, over the years, analysed a number of companies' buyback offers. You can check them in the related blogs section below)

-------------------

Related Blogs:

Ajanta Pharma Buyback Offer 2023

Natco Pharma Buyback Offer 2023

Indian Energy Exchange Buyback Offer 2022

Jagran Prakashan Buyback Offer 2022

Kaveri Seed Company Buyback Offer 2022

Infosys Limited Buyback Offer 2022

Zydus Lifesciences Buyback Offer 2022

FDC Limited Buyback Offer 2022

GE Shipping Company Buyback Offer 2021  

Kaveri Seed Company buyback offer 2021

Crompton Greaves Buyback Offer 2013

-------------------

 

Not all companies do buyback offers immediately after one year from the date of closure of previous buybacks. For example, FDC Limited did a buyback in 2020, which closed on 29Sep2020. But it took about 15 months from the closure of 2020 buyback to consider the next buyback. FDC made the next buyback announcement on 04Feb2022.
 
Companies consider certain factors before making any buyback offers. 
 
Key factors that go into buyback consideration include, the amount of cash surplus available after any capital expenditure, available free reserves, SEBI regulations for buyback, the capital allocation policy of the company, the company's dividend policy, attractiveness of the share price relative to past valuations and others.

Tata Consultancy Services Ltd (TCS) did a buyback last year -- the buyback opened 09Mar2022 and closed on 23Mar2022. Since 2017, the company made four buybacks -- all through 'tender offer' route.
 
It'll be interesting to watch what TCS management would do on or after 23Mar2023 (one year from closure of 2022 buyback) about potential buyback. TCS regularly buys back its equity shares, because it generates healthy free cash flows (free cash flow is operating cash flow after capital expenditure, if any).
 
The following is a representative list of companies in the listed space that are likely to be eligible for the next buyback offer, provided the companies deem it fit to distribute their cash surplus via buyback offers >
 
 


To give an example: As shown in above table, MOIL Limited closed its previous buyback on 10Feb2022. So, the company is not barred from offering another buyback on or after 10Feb2023 (buyback eligibility date for next buyback -- one year from closure of previous buyback).

But the company has, in the past six weeks, not made any announcement regarding buyback. 

Let us cite another example: KPR Mill Ltd completed its 2022 buyback on 07Apr2022. So, it cannot make the next buyback offer before 07Apr2023 (one year from closure of previous buyback). Depending on the management's comfort on cash position and other considerations mentioned above, KPR Mill may, in theory, consider a buyback on or after 07Apr2023.

 

To Sum Up

Investors have to consider various factors as to whether a stock is attractively priced before participating in buyback offers. One should not base their decisions solely on potential buyback offers. It's naive to buy stocks based solely on a single metric -- like buyback offers or others.
 
It would be useful to watch the buyback closure dates and the prospective date on which a company is likely to be eligible for the next buyback (as shown in the representative list above).
 
Investors need to see whether the company routinely uses buybacks for distribution of their cash surplus to equity shareholders. Stock valuation is also a key metric for investors before deciding on buyback offers. Investors also need to see whether the promoters are participating in the buyback offers.
 

- - -

References:

Tweet 22Mar2023 on buybacks

Tweet  18Mar2020 on buyback list

BSE weblink to search for past buyback offers (only tender offers - dropdown menu)

SEBI weblink for past buyback offers (both tender and open market offers)

Screener.in weblink (after login) for past buyback offers

BSE weblink for Live Public insues (including buybacks - both tender and open market offers)

-------------------
 
Read more:  
 
Ajanta Pharma Buyback Offer 2023
 
Natco Pharma Buyback Offer 2023
 
When Will US Federal Reserve Stop Hiking Interest Rates?
 
Why Do Indian Equity Mutual Funds Always Disappoint Investors?

Adani Stocks Meltdown and Nifty Next 50 Index

Are Indian Stocks Immune to Adani stock Meltdown?

Meltdown in Adani group Listed Stocks

Why the Divergence Between Sensex and Nifty 50 in Today's Trade?

Indian Stock Market Moves Fully to T+1 Settlement

NSE Indices Comparison 31Dec2022

BSE 500 vs S&P 500 Indices Compare 31Dec2022

India Up the Ladder in MSCI EM Index 

New Rules on Ex-date and Record date

Crisil Report - Big Shift in Financialisation 

Weblinks and Investing

-------------------

 

Disclosure:  I've vested interested in Indian stocks and other investments. It's safe to assume I've interest in the financial instruments / products discussed, if any.

Disclaimer: The analysis and opinion provided here are only for information purposes and should not be construed as investment advice. Investors should consult their own financial advisers before making any investments. The author is a CFA Charterholder with a vested interest in financial markets. 

CFA Charter credentials  - CFA Member Profile

CFA Badge

 

He blogs at:

https://ramakrishnavadlamudi.blogspot.com/

https://www.scribd.com/vrk100

Twitter @vrk100


Saturday, 18 March 2023

EPFO Investments in Stocks via ETFs - vrk100 - 18Mar2023

EPFO Investments in Stocks via ETFs

 

 
 
 
 
(updates 15Jan2024, 12Dec2023 and 14Aug2023 with new data are available at the end of the blog post)


 
Employees' Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO) is a statutory body established by the Government of India. EPFO collects, administers and manages provident funds and pension funds of various employees in India. 

EPFO used to invest, on behalf of its subscribers and pensioners, most of its funds in debt securities of Government of India, State Governments and private sector firms. But in 2015, EPFO started investing in Indian stock market via exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This is a significant development, not only for EPFO but also for Indian stock market.
 
(story continues below)
 
------------------ 
 
Related Blogs: 
 
Why Do Indian Equity MFs Always Disappoint Investors?
 
Indian Mutual Funds and the Art of Ripping off Investors
  
Who is Eating My Gold ETF Return?
 
Mutual Fund Asset Class Returns 31Dec2022

Indian Equity ETF Risks and Returns 31Dec2021

------------------
 

Since August 2015, EPFO's gross investments (does not include redemptions) amount to Rs 159,300 crore till 31Mar2022. This is just face value of the gross investments made by EPFO. The market value of these equity ETF investments was Rs 226,000 crore as on 31Mar2022.
 
Due to large-sized investments from EPFO, the ETF assets in India swelled from Rs 28,800 crore in Dec2016 to Rs 497,000 crore in Dec2022 (data include both equity and debt, but exclude gold ETFs). 

 
Table 1: EPFO Investments in Equity ETFs >
 

 
Of the total investments of Rs 18.31 lakh crore (face value) of EPFO as on 31Mar2022, only 8.70 percent or Rs 1.59 lakh crore is invested in equity market and the rest is in various fixed income / debt securities. 

 
Table 2: Timeline of EPFO Equity Investment Pattern >


As shown in table 2 above, EPFO started investing, in August 2015, five percent of its incremental flows in a year in equity ETFs. In Sep2016, EPFO increased it to 10 percent and in May2017, further raised the maximum limit to 15 percent of fresh accretions in a financial year. 

EPFO restricts itself to equity ETFs based on Nifty 50, BSE Sensex, CPSE and Bharat 22 indices. Moreover, its Nifty 50 and Sensex ETF investments are restricted to just two mutual fund houses, namely, SBI MF and UTI MF -- both belonging to the public sector (for more: see pages 76 to 79 of EPFO Annual Report 2020-21).


Table 3: AUM of ETFs in Which EPFO Invested >



The assets under management (AUM) of the six ETFs (table 3) in which EPFO invested is Rs 3.21 lakh crore -- which accounts for about 80 percent of total AUM of Rs 3.97 lakh crore of about 130-odd equity ETFs of Indian mutual fund industry (data from Rupee Vest). 
 
Such a high concentration of AUM in just six ETFs is due to the fact that EPFO restricts its ETF investments to just these six ETFs.
 
As delineated in table 3 above, SBI Nifty 50 ETF, SBI Sensex ETF and UTI Nifty 50 ETF are the top three equity mutual funds schemes by AUM among all equity MFs (active equity funds, equity index funds and equity ETFs).
 
The regular flows from EPFO have helped these ETFs gain AUM in the past six to seven years. Most of the ETF investments are restricted to SBI Nifty 50 ETF, SBI Sensex ETF, UTI Nifty 50 ETF and UTI Sensex ETF.

 
EPFO Equity Investments Initiated in 2013:

The then finance minister P Chidambaram in his 2013-14 budget speech on 28Feb2013 announced that EPFO would enlarge its investments to exchange traded funds and others. A screenshot of the relevant budget speech >



Though the reform process originated in Feb2013, it took more than 30 months for EPFO to start investing in Indian stock market. One government initiated the process and the next government picked up the thread and started the investments.  
 
The point is economic reforms in India are a continuum; they can't be attributed to a single person / government.
 
 
To Sum Up

EPFO's investments in Indian equity market have led to the faster development of passive mutual fund industry. This has helped in the rise of Indian stock market also, with domestic institutional investors working as a bulwark to any large-scale equity outflows from foreign portfolio investors (FPIs).
 
Instead of confining itself to just two mutual fund houses, namely, SBI MF and UTI MF, it would be better if EPFO, which works under the Ministry of Labour and Employment, expands its horizon to other mutual fund companies also.
 
 

- - -

P.S.: The following data / image are included after the blog was published on 18Mar2023 >

 

Update 15Jan2024: The Updated charts are available with new data incorporated as per FY 2022-23 annual report of EPFO > pages 79 to 90 of the PDF for equity investments and investment pattern details > PIB press release dated 11Dec2023 :

Table 1: Gross investment by EPFO in equity ETFs:

Total gross investments made by EPFO in equity ETFs or exchange-traded funds from August 2015 till 31Oct2023 are Rs 261,649 crore.


Table 3: AUM of Equity ETFs in which EPFO Invested:

As on 31Dec2023, the total AUM (assets under management) of all equity ETFs in which EPFO invested is Rs 412,602 crore -- which is 77.7 percent of total AUM of all equity ETFs. The total AUM of all equity ETFs is Rs 530,733 crore as per Rupee Vest data. 

But for the investments by EPFO in equity ETFs since Aug2015, the amount of equity ETFs in India would have been significantly lower.


Table 4: Growth in total AUM of all ETFs for the last 10 years:

Total AUM of all ETFs (includes debt and equity, but excludes golt ETFs) in India grew by 25 percent in calendar year 2023 to Rs 612,022 crore as on 31Dec2023. This is the lowest growth in AUM in the past 10 years, even as the benchmark stocks indices, Sensex and Nifty 50, have been scaling new highs in recent months.

The growth in total AUM of ETFs is mainly driven by investments in debt and equity ETFs by EPFO for more than eight years.


Table 4: Total Corpus of EPFO investments:

 

Total corpus of investments (face value) made by EPFO in various schemes is Rs 21,36,599 crore as on 31Mar2023 -- of which total corpus of ETF investments (face value) is Rs 196,699 crore, which is just 9.21 percent of the total corpus. However, this has been going up steadily in recent years. The percentage of ETF investments in total was 8.70 percent of the total as on 31Mar2022.





Update 12Dec2023: The investments of EPFO into stock market via ETFs from Apr2023 to Oct2023 are Rs 27,105 crore as per PIB press release dated 11Dec2023


 

Update 14Aug2023: The investments of EPFO into stock market via ETFs (from 2015-16 till Jul2023) are in the enclosed chart >

 

Total EPFO investments in equity ETFs from Apr2015 till Jul2023 are Rs 2.47 lakh crore. 



 

References:

Tweet 14Jan2018 on EPFO ETF investments

Tweet 15Oct2022 Chidambaram 2013 budget speech

EPFO Annual Reports

Additional data: investment pattern of EPFO >



-------------------
 
Read more:  
 
Ajanta Pharma Buyback Offer 2023
 
Natco Pharma Buyback Offer 2023
 
When Will US Federal Reserve Stop Hiking Interest Rates?
 
Why Do Indian Equity Mutual Funds Always Disappoint Investors?

Adani Stocks Meltdown and Nifty Next 50 Index

Are Indian Stocks Immune to Adani stock Meltdown?

Meltdown in Adani group Listed Stocks

JP Morgan Guide to Markets

Why the Divergence Between Sensex and Nifty 50 in Today's Trade?

Indian Stock Market Moves Fully to T+1 Settlement

NSE Indices Comparison 31Dec2022

BSE 500 vs S&P 500 Indices Compare 31Dec2022

India Up the Ladder in MSCI EM Index 

New Rules on Ex-date and Record date

Crisil Report - Big Shift in Financialisation 

Weblinks and Investing

-------------------

 

Disclosure:  I've vested interested in Indian stocks and other investments. It's safe to assume I've interest in the financial instruments / products discussed, if any.

Disclaimer: The analysis and opinion provided here are only for information purposes and should not be construed as investment advice. Investors should consult their own financial advisers before making any investments. The author is a CFA Charterholder with a vested interest in financial markets. 

CFA Charter credentials  - CFA Member Profile

CFA Badge

 

He blogs at:

https://ramakrishnavadlamudi.blogspot.com/

https://www.scribd.com/vrk100

Twitter @vrk100