Sunday, 1 November 2026

Nifty Indices Internals: Reading the Hidden Damage – October 2026 Update

Nifty Indices Internals: Reading the Hidden Damage – October 2026 Update

(This is my 543rd blog since 2010. Over the years, I have covered global financial markets, with a focus on India, and continue to share insights to help readers understand complex topics in simple language.

The views expressed here are for information purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation or investment advice. While the author is a CFA Charterholder with nearly 25 years of experience in financial markets, this content is intended to share general insights and does not constitute financial guidance. 

Please consult your financial adviser before taking any investment decision. Safe to assume the author has a vested interest in stocks / investments discussed if any.) 





Imagine two boxers emerging from a fight. Both are still standing. To an outsider, they might appear equally healthy. 

But one has suffered considerably more injuries and internal damage than the other. The fact that he is still standing doesn't mean he hasn't taken a beating. He feels every bruise.

The stock market is no different.

The headline index is what the outsider sees. Market internals reveal the bruises suffered by individual stocks. 

A handful of heavyweight stocks can keep a market cap-weighted index, like Nifty 50, holding up well even while dozens of other stocks are hurting.

An index can look healthy while a large number of its constituents are nursing serious injuries.

This is why looking at the Nifty alone can be deceptive. To understand the true health of the Indian stock market, we need to look beneath the surface. 


2) What do the numbers reveal?

The chart below shows data covering three segments of the Indian equity market: 

Nifty 50, 

Nifty Next 50 and 

Nifty MidSmallcap 400. 

Together, they represent the Nifty 500 universe, covering nearly 85 per cent of India's listed market capitalisation.

The October 2026 snapshot reveals some interesting facts.

Chart showing Nifty Indices Internals of three Nifty indices as of 31Oct2026 >



In the Nifty MidSmallcap 400 index, 68% of stocks (272 stocks of 400) are more than 20% below their respective 52-week highs. More significantly, 41% of stocks are down more than 30%, 13% more than 40%, and 4% of stocks have fallen more than 50%.

The corresponding figures for Nifty Next 50 are 64%, 24%, 8% and 0%.

For Nifty 50, they are 56%, 14%, 0% and 0%, respectively.

The hierarchy is quite clear. Mid- and small-cap stocks have experienced the most widespread price damage, followed by Next 50 stocks, while Nifty 50 components have been relatively more resilient.

Interestingly, the indices themselves are down relatively less from their respective 52-week highs: Nifty MidSmallcap 400 by 10.4%, Nifty Next 50 by 9.7%, and Nifty 50 by 12.6%. 

This contrast further illustrates how headline index performance can mask widespread weakness among individual stocks.

One single chart, like the above, tells you so many things about the three market segments:

> drawdowns (%age of fall from 52-week high)

> downside protection of indices

> their relative riskiness 

> market breadth

> how volatile the individual stocks are, compared to the index itself

As shown in the above chart, mid- and small-cap stocks are riskier than their counterparts in the large-cap segment. 

A note on the data: These figures measure declines from individual 52-week highs, not peak-to-trough drawdowns over a common period. They indicate stock-level price damage and market breadth, not comparable investment-period losses.


3) Comparing with Dec2025 figures: The index versus the reality beneath it:

The comparison between December 2025 and October 2026 is revealing.

In the MidSmallcap 400, 51% of stocks were more than 20% below their respective 52-week highs in December 2025. By October 2026, this proportion had increased to 68%. 

In other words, more than two out of every three stocks in this segment are now significantly below their individual highs. 

The underlying weakness has become more widespread, even though the index itself declined by only 3.5%.

The picture is similar in the other segments:

Nifty Next 50: 36% in December 2025 versus 64% in October 2026 (index declined by 2.4%).

Nifty 50: 10% in December 2025 versus 56% in October 2026 (index fall of 11.8%).

The deterioration in Nifty 50 is particularly striking. Even the large-cap universe, whose headline index performance can be supported by a handful of heavyweight stocks, shows substantial constituent-level weakness.

The message is clear: the damage beneath the headline indices is considerably greater than index performance alone might suggest.

(note: see footnotes below for data as of 31Dec2025)

Why does this happen?

Market-cap-weighted indices, like, Nifty 50 and others, give disproportionate importance to their largest constituents. A handful of heavyweight stocks can hold up the index even when hundreds of smaller constituents are falling sharply.

Consequently, the index's performance may be very different from the experience of an investor holding a diversified portfolio of individual stocks. 

Market-cap weighting can mask widespread weakness because a handful of heavyweight stocks can support the index even when many other constituents are falling.

As shown above, the deterioration in market breadth is not confined to mid- and small-caps. It has spread across the large-cap universe as well. 


4) What should investors take away?

Index stability does not necessarily mean that individual stocks are resilient. 

For investors who cannot devote time to analysing markets, low-cost passive funds offer a sensible way to participate in long-term wealth creation. 

Consistently beating the index after costs and taxes is difficult.

Look beneath the surface:

An index tells you how the market is performing. Its internals tell you how its constituents are suffering.

Just as a boxer can remain standing despite serious injuries, an index can appear healthy while many of its stocks are badly bruised.

Don't judge the market by its headline indices alone. Look beneath the surface.

That’s why it’s important to look at index internals (like internals of Nifty Indices) to understand the real health of the market.


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References:

NSE historical index data

NSE Indices - market watch

Screener.in - NSE indices

Tweet thread 31Dec2025: Nifty Indices internals >

Chart showing Nifty Indices internals of three Nifty indices as of 31Dec2025 >


Tweet thread 01Apr2026: Nifty indices internals >

Tweet thread 01Jul2025: Nifty indices internals >

Tweet thread: Nifty indices internals >

Charts showing data of Nifty indices internals as of 31Mar2026, 31Sep2025, 30Jun2025 and 31Mar2025 >






Friday, 30 October 2026

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Sep2026

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Sep2026

 
 
 
(This is for information purposes only. This should not be construed as a recommendation or investment advice even though the author is a CFA Charterholder. Please consult your financial adviser before taking any investment decision. Safe to assume the author has a vested interest in stocks / investments discussed if any.)
 
 
JP Morgan Asset Management publishes a comprehensive presentation every month end, containing various slides on global markets, especially those relating to the US markets.
 
This is a very useful and informative guide for financial market professionals or FMPs.  This "JP Morgan Guide to the Markets" can be accessed here. The following are some of the highlights / images presented in this guide: all the data are at the end of 30Sep2026:





















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Related Blogs: 

JP Morgan guide to Markets Jun2026

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Dec2025 

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Jun2025

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Mar2025 

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Feb2025 

JP  Morgan Guide to Markets Dec2024

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Oct2024 

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Sep2024 

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Jul2024

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Jun2024 

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Mar2024 

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Dec2023 

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Sep2023 

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Aug2023 

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Apr2023 

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Mar2023 

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Jan2023 

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Dec2022 

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Oct2022 

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Sep2022 

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Jul2022 

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Apr2022 

JP Morgan Guide to Markets Jan2022 


 

Monday, 19 October 2026

Global Market Data 30Sep2026

Global Market Data 30Sep2026

(This is my 542nd blog since 2010. Over the years, I have covered global financial markets, with a focus on India, and continue to share insights to help readers understand complex topics in simple language.

The views expressed here are for information purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation or investment advice. While the author is a CFA Charterholder with nearly 25 years of experience in financial markets, this content is intended to share general insights and does not constitute financial guidance. 

Please consult your financial adviser before taking any investment decision. Safe to assume the author has a vested interest in stocks / investments discussed if any.) 




This blog serves as a quarterly archive of financial market data as at 30Sep2026, compiled from primary and reputed sources such as BSE India, NSE India, Value Research, Bloomberg, CNBC and other data providers. 

It presents QTD (Quarter to date) and YTD (Year-to date) performance across equity indices, bonds, commodities and currencies. Screenshots and data tables are preserved to maintain a record of market movements. 

The objective is to create a reliable historical reference for future research, comparison and posterity.


Here are the data tables and screenshots:

(click on the images to view better)


Quarter to date (QTD) global market data of stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities:

Year to date (YTD) global market data of the same:

QTD:

Bond yields have gone up across the nations, as there is no end to US Iran war and crude oil prices have gained the most during the Jul-Sep2026 quarter. There are also concerns about bulging national debt, especially in the US. 

Bitcoin has outperformed other asset classes, whereas currencies have remained stable, though Japanese Yen weakened against the dollar. The US - India 10-year bond yield spread is down 41 basis points (one percentage points equals 100 basis points). 

YTD:

Bond yields have soared across the globe in the US, Europe as well as Asian nations.

The biggest gainers, so far, are crude oil prices during 2026. The US dollar index too has surged. Among equity market, Nikkei 225 and Nasdaq Composite are the winners, with Indian stocks underperforming global markets a lot. 





Other screenshots >

CNBC markets 

CNBC commodities  

Trading Economics  GDP macros

Trading Economics global government bond yields 

MSCI EM Index (net returns)

BSE market cap of all companies

RBI one year deposit rate data; and other data of rates and ratios RBI GetKeyWords

Value Research BSE Indices - annual and trailing returns 

Value Research Mutual Fund Monitor - annual and trailing returns 

BSE 500 sector wise free float market cap 

BSE 1000 sector wise free float market cap 

Bitcoin CoinMarketCap  - Data on crypto currencies

Companies Market Cap - Top companies in the world by market cap 




















Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Please do your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.



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References:

Market Data quarter end:

BSE market cap of all companies

RBI one year deposit rate data; and other data of rates and ratios RBI GetKeyWords

Value Research BSE Indices - annual and trailing returns 

Value Research Mutual Fund Monitor - annual and trailing returns  

VR liquid funds returns  - annual and trailing returns  

BSE 500 sector wise free float market cap 

BSE 1000 sector wise free float market cap  

IBJA rates gold and silver - IBJA PDF as on 30Jun2026

Nifty 500 data quarter tend from Screener.in 

CNBC markets 

CNBC commodities  

Trading Economics  GDP macros

Trading Economics global government bond yields 

CCIL India

Bitcoin CoinMarketCap 

Companies Market Cap - Top companies in the world by market cap 

Bloomberg Commodity Index

USD RMB 

DXY US dollar index - USDX

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For Global Market Data between 30Sep2024 and 30Jun2026, check various reports in my blog Forex Data Bank 09Jun2024

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Related blogs:

Global Market Data 30Jun2024

Global Market Data 31Mar2024 

Global Market Data 2013 to 2023 (11-year data) 

Global Market Data 2012 to 2022 (11-year data)

Global Market Data 31Dec2023

Global Market Data 30Sep2023

Global Market Data 31Mar2023

Global Market Data 31Dec2022 

Global Market Data 30Sep2022

Global Market Data 30Jun2022

Global Market Data 31Mar2022

Global Market Data 31Dec2021

Global Market Data 30Sep2021


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Sunday, 11 October 2026

Nifty Total Market Index: Sector Rotation So Far in 2026

Nifty Total Market Index: Sector Rotation So Far in 2026 11Oct2026

(This is my 541st blog since 2010. Over the years, I have covered global financial markets, with a focus on India, and continue to share insights to help readers understand complex topics in simple language.

The views expressed here are for information purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation or investment advice. While the author is a CFA Charterholder with nearly 25 years of experience in financial markets, this content is intended to share general insights and does not constitute financial guidance. 

Please consult your financial adviser before taking any investment decision. Safe to assume the author has a vested interest in stocks / investments discussed if any.) 




This article looks at how sector weights in the Nifty Total Market index have changed during 2026. 

1) What Is Nifty Total Market?

Nifty Total Market provides a broad view of the Indian equity market. It comprises 750 stocks: the 500 stocks in Nifty 500 and 250 stocks from Nifty Microcap 250. 

The index is based on free-float market capitalisation (to be exact, the Nifty TM has 755 stocks as of 30Sep2026). 

As of the latest data, the total market capitalisation of all companies listed on BSE, including the recently-listed NSE Ltd, is Rs 465 lakh crore (USD 4.82 trillion). Nifty Total Market accounts for Rs 423 lakh crore, or more than 90 per cent of this total.

With such broad market coverage, Nifty Total Market index can reasonably be considered a proxy for the Indian equity market.


(article continues below)

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Related articles:

Inside the Nifty 500 Index: How It Changed from 2021 to 2026 28Jul2026 

Nifty 500 Snapshot 30Jun2026

Beneath the Surface: What 750 Stocks Reveal About Market Breadth 05Apr2026 (Nifty Total Market Index)

Inside the BSE 500 and S&P 500: Top Stocks, Top Sectors, Big Risks 31Dec2025

NSE Emerging Indices Fundamentals Comparison 31Dec2025

BSE 500 vs Nifty 500: Same Market, Different Indices 31Dec2025

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2) Sector Breakdown: September 2026

Chart showing sector composition of Nifty Total Market as at the end of 30Sep2026, compared with 31Dec2025 >


The September 2026 sector breakdown provides the starting point for looking at the changes during the year. Nifty Total Market has 20 sectors in total, but only top 10 sectors are shown in the above chart. 


3) Sector Changes YTD:

Between 31Dec2025 and 31Sep2026, Financial Services remained the largest sector, though its weight declined from 30.8 per cent to 29.8 per cent.

Capital Goods saw the biggest rise in ranking. It moved up from sixth place to second, with its weight increasing from 6.2 per cent to 8.1 per cent.

Healthcare moved up from fifth to third. Information Technology moved down from second to sixth, with its weight declining from 7.9 per cent to 6.0 per cent.

Oil & Gas also moved down, from third to fifth.

Despite these changes, overall sector concentration changed more or less the same. The Top 3 sector weight increased from 43.3 per cent to 45.3 per cent, while the Top 5 increased from 58.3 per cent to 59.1 per cent.


YTD sector returns:

The 2026 YTD returns show wide dispersion among the major sectors. Nifty Metal (+15.4%), Telecommunications (+20.2%), Capital Goods (+11.5%) and Healthcare (+10.8%) performed relatively well, while IT (-25.9%), FMCG (-19.2%), Oil & Gas (-12.7%) and Financial Services (-10.0%) declined (See blog for more).

Year-to-date sector returns provide useful context for these changes in sector weights. There has been a wide divergence in sector performance during 2026, with some sectors gaining strongly while others declining sharply. 

This helps explain some of the changes in sector weights, although changes in index constituents also play a role.


4) Why Did Sector Weights Change?

Sector weights change for two main reasons: 

> changes in the market values of existing constituents, and 

> changes in the constituents themselves.


This distinction is important for longer-term comparisons.

Nifty Total Market is reviewed twice a year, in March and September. The Mar2026 review brought 59 stocks into the index and removed 59. The Sep2026 review included 53 stocks in and excluded 53. 

Thus, 112 stocks were added and 112 removed across the two reviews.

However, the number of stocks added or removed is only an indication of changes in the constituent base. It does not by itself explain changes in sector weights.

For example, Capital Goods had 15 additions and 17 deletions, a net decline of two stocks. Yet its Nifty Total Market weight increased from 6.2 per cent to 8.1 per cent year to date. 

This shows that changes in sector weight are influenced not only by constituent changes, but also by relative price performance and the free-float market capitalisation of the stocks involved.

Therefore, a sector's changing weight can reflect market performance, changes in index constituents, or both.


5) Gist

Year-to-date data shows meaningful shifts in sector weights, with Capital Goods and Healthcare gaining ground while Information Technology and Oil & Gas losing weight.

Despite broad market coverage, Nifty Total Market retains meaningful sector concentration, with Financial Services alone accounting for nearly 30 per cent of the index.

Don't miss the additional notes and references given below. 

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Please do your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

(Section 4 above was altered on 13Oct2026 to clarify that changes in sector weights are infllued not only by constituent changes, but also by relative performance and the free float market capitalisation of stocks involved).



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References:

Nifty indices factsheets
Nifty Total Market factsheet - PDF for Sep2026
Nifty Total Market Research Paper 30Nov2021
NSE Index Dashboard 
NSE Indices methodology document
Nifty Indices Factsheets (NSE Indices) 09Jul2026
Press releases by NSE Indices Ltd


Screenshot of Nifty Total Market factsheet as of 30Sep2026 >



Screenshot of Nifty Total Market factsheet as of 31Dec2025 >


Screenshot of Nifty Total Market factsheet as of 31Dec2024 >


Screenshot of Nifty Total Market factsheet as of 31Dec2023 >



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Additional notes:

1) YTD returns of top 10 sectors by weight in Nifty Total Market as at end-Sep2026 >



2) A Small but Important Nuance:

The number of stocks in a dedicated Nifty sector index is not the same as the number of companies belonging to that sector within Nifty 500 or Nifty Total Market (you can find the number of stocks present in each sector in the image provided in additional note 1 above).

For example, the Nifty Financial Services index has a selected set of only 20 stocks. Financial Services within Nifty Total Market includes the Financial Services companies (with more than 100 stocks of Financial Services' stocks dominating the Nifty TM index) that are constituents of the Nifty TM index.

The two represent different universes and serve different purposes.

3) Difference between Nifty 500 and Nifty Total Market:

As far as sector representation / concentration is concerned, there is not much difference between Nifty 500 and Nifty Total Market indices according to the latest NSE data. Though Nifty TM has 250 more stocks (micro-cap stocks) than those in Nifty 500, this doesn't materially change the broad sector representation captured by Nifty 500.

If you're interested in knowing about Nifty 500, you can my earlier blog -- which explored the changes over the past five years. 

4) NSE Indices (Nifty Indices) launched 11 new Nifty sector indices on 15Jun2026. They are:

Nifty Power 
Nifty Capital Goods 
Nifty Telecommunications 
Nifty Construction 
Nifty Consumer Services 
Nifty Commercial & Transport Services 
Nifty Retail 
Nifty Hospitals 
Nifty NBFC 
Nifty Housing Finance 
Nifty Insurance

5) As of current data, there are only five passive funds (one ETF plus four index funds) tracking Nifty TM index -- and these have meagre assets under management, making them mostly not suitable (uninvestable for now) for most retail investors.