Saturday, 17 January 2026

RBI’s New Comfort with Foreign Capital Spurs FDI Turnaround in India’s Financial Sector 17Jan2026

RBI’s New Comfort with Foreign Capital Spurs FDI Turnaround in India’s Financial Sector  17Jan2026

 
 
 
(This is for information purposes only. This should not be construed as a recommendation or investment advice even though the author is a CFA Charterholder. Please consult your financial adviser before taking any investment decision. Safe to assume the author has a vested interest in stocks / investments discussed if any.) 
 

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        Table showing major FDI deals in India's Financial Sector in 2025

 

 

In the final months of 2025, two landmark deals announced a new chapter for foreign investment in India’s financial sector. 

Japan’s MUFG moved to acquire a 20 per cent strategic stake in Shriram Finance Limited in a transaction valued at Rs 39,618 crore (approximately USD 4.4 billion), while UAE-based Emirates NBD set sights on a controlling 60 per cent acquisition of RBL Bank Limited for about Rs 26,850 crore (USD 3 billion). 

Though both deals are still in the process of closure, they signal a remarkable shift: global financial giants are committing substantial capital to India’s banks and non-banking financial companies (NBFCs), reflecting growing confidence spurred by the Reserve Bank of India’s relaxed stance on foreign ownership.

 

1. A Raft of Deals 

As shown in the table above, the seven major deals announced in 2025 together amount to around USD 12.6 billion, or nearly Rs 1.10 lakh crore. 

Among these, the deals involving Yes Bank and IDFC First Bank have already closed, while the remaining transactions — including the MUFG-Shriram Finance and Emirates NBD-RBL Bank deals — are expected to see foreign direct investment (FDI) materialise over the next one to two quarters, subject to regulatory approvals. 

This wave of foreign capital we witnessed in India's financial sector in 2025 is generally positive for the Indian economy.

 

2. Role of RBI 

The role of Reserve Bank of India (RBI), India's banking supervisor, in allowing foreign capital to flood Indian banks and NBFCs is particularly noteworthy. For years, foreign investors were cautious about taking large or controlling stakes in Indian banks due to regulatory uncertainty and investment hurdles. 

In 2025, however, the RBI provided clearer signals on foreign ownership and made approval processes more predictable, reducing the uncertainty that had earlier kept large foreign investors cautious.

This regulatory reassurance and comfort gave the filip and confidence to global banks and funds to commit billions of dollars. This is a clear turning point for foreign capital in India's financial services sector.

Observers suggest the RBI’s comfort with significant foreign stakes may reflect wider government backing, giving investors confidence that large foreign participation in banks and NBFCs is now broadly supported.

It indicates the RBI is no longer hesitant about foreign investors owning meaningful stakes, including controlling positions, in Indian banks and NBFCs. This shift is reflected in clearer acceptance of higher ownership levels, faster and more predictable approvals.

As shown above, UAE-based Emirates NBD is set to acquire a 60 per cent controlling stake in RBL Bank, while Abu Dhabi-bassed private equity firm IHC will take a 43 per cent controlling stake in Sammaan Capital.

This combination of regulatory clarity and policy backing helps explain why 2025 has seen an unprecedented wave of foreign capital exploring both minority and controlling stakes across the financial sector.

 

3. Earlier Cases

There have been earlier instances of the RBI allowing significant foreign participation in Indian banking, though they were limited and situation-specific. 

In Oct2018, Prem Watsa’s Fairfax India Holdings (FIH) acquired a majority stake in CSB Bank (formerly Catholic Syrian Bank), eventually raising its holding to 49.7 per cent before paring it down to 40 per cent in Jun2024. 

Similarly, in Nov2020, the troubled Lakshmi Vilas Bank (LVB) was taken over by DBS Bank India with explicit regulatory backing from the RBI, underscoring the central bank’s willingness to use foreign capital as a stabilising force when domestic options were limited.
 

4. How the flood of capital will change India's financial sector landscape:

The scale of foreign capital entering India’s financial sector in 2025 is likely to have effects beyond individual transactions. 

Beyond strengthening balance sheets and capital buffers, foreign participation can bring operational expertise, technology and global best practices to Indian financial institutions. This exposure often supports better innovation, risk management and product design within the existing regulatory framework. 

With more room to lend, invest in systems and absorb economic shocks, institutions also face greater scrutiny on governance, risk management and compliance, particularly where foreign investors have operational influence and a long-term strategic role. 

While controlling stakes allow investors to shape strategy and execution, minority stakes enable participation without full responsibility, and over time this combination can translate into improved services and a wider range of financial products for customers.

 

5. Competition and consolidation

The influx of foreign capital may also lead to intensify competition and encourage consolidation in the financial sector. Well-capitalised banks and NBFCs can expand more aggressively, offer better products and compete for talent and customers -- putting pressure on smaller or weaker players. 

At the same time, stronger balance sheets and strategic foreign partners may make mergers and acquisitions easier, helping consolidate the sector.

Major domestic and dominant players such as HDFC Bank, SBI, ICICI Bank and Bajaj Finance are likely to watch these developments closely. 

The new foreign capital and strategic stakes in other banks and NBFCs could influence competitive dynamics across the sector -- prompting the existing major players to assess their strategies and growth opportunities in response to the changing landscape.

 

6. Dominance of Financial Services Sector in India

The financial services sector is now the largest in India’s Nifty 500 index (a proxy for India's stock market), accounting for nearly one-third (31.6 per cent) of the index as of Dec2025. 
 
It includes not only traditional banks and NBFCs, but also asset management companies, insurance firms, small finance banks, capital-market-related stocks and FinTech companies.

The sector’s expansion reflects broader economic growth, financial inclusion and innovation. Digital payments, UPI, mobile wallets; and FinTech platforms like Zerodha and Groww have made financial services more accessible to millions, while new products in wealth management, insurance and lending have diversified consumer choice. 

The surge in demat accounts has broadened access to capital markets, making it easier for companies of all sizes to raise funds for growth and expansion.

With this dominant role in India’s economy, the sector naturally attracts foreign capital, which sees both scale and innovation as opportunities to invest and bring global expertise into India’s evolving financial landscape.
 
7. Gist 
 
The year 2025 marks a turning point for foreign direct investment (FDI) in India’s financial sector, while the manufacturing sector continues to struggle in attracting significant foreign capital.

India’s manufacturing sector has struggled to attract foreign investment due to regulatory complexities, infrastructure bottlenecks and lengthy approval processes. High compliance costs, land acquisition challenges and inconsistent policy signals have further stymied foreign capital flows to India. 
 
Similarly, in the banking space, the government continues to face challenges in divesting public sector banks, as seen in the prolonged efforts to sell IDBI Bank, highlighting the difficulty of attracting private and foreign capital into certain domestic institutions.

Clearer regulation, government support and strategic global interest have unlocked significant capital in the financial sector strengthening companies and gradually reshaping competition.

For customers and the financial sector, this signals a more robust, globally connected and resilient financial landscape.

The influx of foreign capital strengthens the balance sheets and operational capabilities of banks and NBFCs, contributing to a more stable financial system. Customers too may benefit from greater competition and wider ranger of produdcts and services.

While new foreign capital does not guarantee higher returns, it signals a more resilient and globally connected financial sector for Indian investors. In short, investors can't ignore India's growing financial sector.

The Government of India and the RBI remain cautious about allowing domestic corporate groups to take significant stakes in Indian banks. Opening this space could bring new capital and greater competition, which may help improve customer services in a sector that still has room for enhancement.


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References and additional data:

Tweet thread 20May2025 Interesting route chosen by RBI to sort out troubles banks in India

Tweet thread 20Oct2025 Foreign Ownership in Indian financial sector (including banks and NBFCs) 

Tweet 26Nov2020 LVB branches to operate as DBS Bank India Ltd

Tweet 21Mar2025 Private equity deals in India's financial sector 


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Disclosure:  I've got a vested interest in Indian stocks and other investments. It's safe to assume I've interest in the financial instruments / products discussed, if any.
 
Disclaimer: The analysis and opinion provided here are only for information purposes and should not be construed as investment advice. Investors should consult their own financial advisers before making any investments. The author is a CFA Charterholder with a vested interest in financial markets.

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