Monday, 14 June 2010

New Base Rate System of Bank Loan Pricing-VRK100-13Jun2010



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BASE RATE - NEW SYSTEM OF LOAN PRICING BY BANKS IN INDIA
 

 
 
 
ABBREVIATIONS USED:

BPLR             : Benchmark Prime Lending Rate
BRS                : Base Rate System
CASA             : Current Account and Savings Bank Accounts (low-cost deposits)
CD                  : Certificate of Deposit;                    CP  : Commercial paper;
CRR               : Cash Reserve Ratio;                       DRI : Differential Rate of Interest
G-Sec             : Government Security
LAF                 : Liquidity Adjustment Facility of the RBI
MIBOR           : Mumbai Inter-bank Offered Rate
PLR                : Prime Lending Rate
RBI                 : Reserve Bank of India; and,            SLR : Statutory Liquidity Ratio




EXECUTIVE SUMMARY




Come July 2010, the Indian banking sector is going to witness some fast moving and high-impact developments. India’s banking regulator, Reserve Bank of India, is ushering in a new Base Rate System (BRS) replacing the existing, outdated and non-transparent Benchmark Prime Lending Rate (BPLR) system. At present, sub-BPLR lending is rampant in the system. Once the new BRS comes into effect, one expects that such a non-transparent and discriminatory system will come to an end.

RBI, in April 2009, announced the appointment of a working group to study the relevance of the existing BPLR and suggest ways to improve the system. The Working Group, headed by Deepak Mohanty, submitted its report in October 2009. Based on the recommendations of the working group, RBI released its draft circular on BASE RATE system on February 10, 2010. After getting feedback from banks and other stakeholders, RBI had issued its Final Guidelines on April 9, 2010. The new Base Rate System would be effective from July 1, 2010.

The Committee’s recommendations have been partially accepted by RBI. In future, banks will not be able to lend at rates below the Base Rate. The Base Rate will be based on the bank’s cost of deposits/funds, negative carry on SLR/CRR, unallocatable overhead cost and average return on net worth. The actual lending rate to be charged to borrowers will be Base Rate plus product-specific overhead cost, credit risk premium and tenor risk premium.

So far, no bank has announced its Base Rate. They may announce the Base Rates in the next few weeks before the deadline of July 1, 2010. The author expects the Base Rate range to be between six and nine per cent due to wide differences in cost of funds, NPAs and other costs.

This article examines, in a comprehensive manner, the contents of the report of the working group and the RBI’s Final Guidelines issued on April 9, 2010. The author has tried to bring in all the aspects of the new system in a simple and easy language that is understandable by all. The article is written in a question-and-answer format, which is one of the easiest. The article’s highlights are:

ü        Why is RBI switching over to the new Base Rate System
ü        What will be the impact of the new system
ü        What are the RBI’s Final Guidelines
ü        Whether RBI has accepted the Committee’s recommendations fully
ü        What are the differences between the Committee’s recommendations and RBI’s Final Guidelines
ü        How is the Base Rate calculated
ü        How is the actual lending rate worked out
ü        What is the likely range of Base Rates by banks

At the end, the following annexures are provided for additional reading:

I    :   Full recommendations of the Deepak Mohanty Committee
II   :   Formulas for calculating the Base Rate
III  :   TIMELINE: Evolution of BPLR since the early 1990s to 2004
IV  :  Some important terms explained

1. What is Base Rate?

Base Rate is the minimum lending rate below which a bank can not lend to borrowers except in a few cases. Base Rate is being implemented in India with effect from July 1, 2010. From that date, the existing Benchmark Prime Lending Rate (BPLR) will cease to exist and the new Base Rate System will come into effect. Base Rate will differ from bank to bank depending on individual bank’s cost of deposits/funds and other criteria.

2. Why is RBI changing the loan pricing system?

There is a public perception that banks have been offering lower lending rates to big corporate customers, while charging higher rates from small borrowers in the retail, small business and agriculture segments. This amounts to cross-subsidization. RBI has received several complaints to this effect from various industry bodies and associations. RBI has taken this view into consideration. For several years especially since the early 2000s, RBI had tried to bring in a transparent system of lending rates in the banking system. After trying very hard, RBI has genuinely felt that banks’ BPLRs are not transparent and there is a large-scale sub-BPLR lending.

Downward stickiness in rates: RBI has observed that whenever RBI raises policy rates and reserve ratios, banks are quick to increase their loan rates. But, when RBI reduces policy rates and reserve ratios, banks respond very slowly effecting decreased lending rates with a considerable time lag. Such a phenomenon is called downward stickiness in rates. RBI is of the view that it is adversely impacting the monetary transmission mechanism in the banking system.

Due to competition, banks have been offering loans to first class borrowers with high credit rating at rates much below the BPLR in a non-transparent manner. RBI opines that banks’ lending at sub-BPLR rates is not in tune with the central bank’s objective of bringing transparency to the loan rates. BPLR has fallen short of RBI’s expectations to work as a reference rate or benchmark rate.

Keeping the above in mind, RBI had set up, in April 2009, a committee under the chairmanship of Deepak Mohanty to look into the existing BPLR system and suggest a suitable alternative system for pricing bank loans. The Deepak Mohanty Committee’s recommendations were made public in October 2009, which suggested shifting from the current BPLR to a new system called Base Rate System. After getting feedback from banks and other stakeholders, RBI had issued its Final Guidelines on April 9, 2010.


3. What are Deepak Mohanty Committee’s Recommendations?

The important recommendations are:

ü        The concept of BPLR is outdated and is out of sync with the present market conditions and it should be replaced with a new Base Rate System

ü        Base Rate would be based on one-year card rate on deposits, loss incurred by banks for SLR/CRR, overhead cost and average return on net worth

ü        The actual rate charged to borrowers would be Base Rate increased by operating costs, credit risk premium, tenor premium and others

ü        Banks should not lend below the Base Rate, except in a few cases

ü        At present, the Government administers loans of up to Rs 2 lakh to small borrowers, under priority sector & others. These administered rates shall be discontinued and these loans can be brought under the Base Rate system.

(For full set of recommendations, see Annexure I at the end of this article.)


4. Whether RBI has accepted the recommendations?

RBI had made public the report of Deepak Mohanty Committee in October 2009. After getting feedback from banks, RBI had issued the final guidelines on Base Rate System on April 9, 2010.

RBI’s Final Guidelines on Base Rate are as follows:

ü        All scheduled commercial banks should switch over from the existing BPLR system to the new Base Rate System

ü        Base Rate System is to be implemented from July 1, 2010

ü        Banks may choose any benchmark to arrive at the Base Rate for a specific tenor (tenure of the loan)

ü        Banks are free to use any other methodology, provided it is made available for RBI’s scrutiny

ü        All loans and advances should be linked to Base Rate. But, there are a few exceptions meaning the following loans can be disbursed without linking them to Base Rate:

                                i.            DRI advances
                              ii.            Loans to banks’ own employees
                            iii.            Loans to banks’ depositors against their own deposits

            Effectively, it means banks can lend below Base Rate in the above cases.

ü        Actual lending rate will be based on Base Rate plus customer specific charges

ü        Until the new system stabilizes, banks are given flexibility to change the benchmark and methodology any time between July and December 2010

ü        Base Rate can be used as a reference rate for floating rate loans

ü        The current stipulation of BPLR as the ceiling rate for loans up to Rs. 2 lakh, under priority sector and others, stands withdrawn wef July 1, 2010

ü        RBI will separately announce lending rates for export credit (The details are given elsewhere)

ü        Banks have to review Base Rate on a quarterly basis

ü        The Base Rate system will be applicable to new loans as well as loans that have come up for renewal
ü        Banks shall exhibit the information on Base Rate on their websites and at all their branches

The RBI’s circular on final guidelines (RBI circular dated April 9, 2010) is a watered-down version of the Deepak Mohanty Committee’s recommendations. The following table will help the reader.
 

As can be seen from the above table, RBI has accepted the Committee’s recommendations only partially. For calculating the Base Rate, RBI has given greater flexibility to banks with regard to selecting a benchmark and calculation methodology.

5. How is Base Rate different from BPLR?

Under the existing Benchmark Prime Lending Rate (BPLR), banks can give loans below BPLR, called sub-BPLR lending. In fact, as at the end of March 2009, 67 per cent of total loans in the entire banking system were contracted at below BPLR. This is not possible under the new Base Rate System. Banks are not allowed to lend at below Base Rate. It is the minimum lending rate banks have to charge to their customers. However, there are a few exceptions to this rule (the details are given elsewhere).

6. How is Base Rate calculated?

Banks are given freedom to decide their own Base Rates based on cost of deposits, adjustment for CRR/SLR maintenance, unallocatable overhead costs and average return on net worth.

According to RBI, Base Rate shall include all those elements of the lending rates that are common across all categories of borrowers. Banks may choose any benchmark to arrive at the Base Rate for a specific tenor to be disclosed transparently. An RBI illustration, for computing the Base Rate is given below:

BASE RATE
=
Cost of deposits/funds
+
Negative carry on CRR/SLR
+
Unallocatable overhead cost
+
Average return on net worth


Banks are free to use any other appropriate methodology, provided it is consistent and is made available for RBI review/scrutiny.

Strictly speaking, the above is only for illustrative purposes. RBI has given freedom to banks to use their own methods for the calculation of Base Rate.

(The above terms are explained with formulas in Annexure II at the end.)

7. Will customers be able get loans at Base Rate?

RBI says that banks can calculate the actual lending rate by adding customer specific charges to the Base Rate.

Frankly speaking, Base Rate is not equal to lending rate that will be charged ultimately to the customer. While arriving at the actual lending rate, banks will add certain appropriate charges specific to the customer, like overhead costs, credit risk premium and tenor premium. As per the Deepak Mohanty Committee’s report, actual lending rate can be arrived at as follows:

Actual lending rate *
=
Base Rate
+
Product specific operating cost
+
Credit risk premium
+
Tenor premium

* Actual lending rate that will be charged by banks to the borrowers

Credit risk premium: All loans carry credit risk meaning that the borrower may fail to repay the loan. The extent of credit risk differs from one borrower to another borrower depending on the borrower’s overall credit standing and other factors. So, the credit risk premium may be lower for a customer with good track record and may be higher for customers with not-so-good record.

Tenor premium: In general, the longer the maturity of the loan, the higher the risk for a lender. As such, banks usually charge higher rates for long-term loans compared to short-term loans, other things being equal.

Example: As all loans will be linked to Base Rate, whenever a bank changes its Base Rate, the loan rates of customers will change accordingly. Suppose Bank Efficient has kept its Base Rate at 8 per cent. And the Bank Efficient has fixed car loans at Base Rate plus 4 per cent (ie, 400 basis points), the car loan rate will be 12 per cent (8 + 4). After a few months, Bank Efficient has revised the Base Rate to 9 per cent, the car loan rate will be revised to 13 per cent (Base Rate plus car loan premium = 9 + 4). Moreover, the Bank has got freedom to revise the car loan premium. Depending on the market conditions and other considerations, the Bank may decide to increase the loan premium to 5 per cent from 4 per cent. Then, the car loan rate will be revised to 14 per cent (9 + 5).

8. What is transparency in loan pricing?

Transparency in bank lending means that banks should be able to provide adequate information to borrowers so that the latter fully understand the terms and conditions. Higher levels of transparency can be achieved by disclosing information on how the loan rates are arrived at by the bank. Transparent lending is equal to borrowers correctly understanding the loan pricing mechanism and other fees before signing the loan agreement. Banks should not indulge in charging any hidden costs and unexpected rate increases. To achieve greater levels of transparency, banks shall ensure that all charges and possibility of rate increases are made clear to the borrower at the beginning of the agreement.

Given the large proportion of sub-BPLR lending by the banking system, concerns have been raised on the transparency aspect of computation of BPLRs by banks.

9. What is monetary policy transmission?

Whenever RBI raises or lowers policy rates, banks are expected to revise their interest rates in tune with the RBI. The intentions of RBI will be carried through the commercial banks to the entire economy. Banks pass on the RBI’s policy measures either by increasing the lending and deposit rates or by lowering them in tune with the RBI’s policy measures. This is called Monetary Policy transmission. But, this monetary transmission is not happening in actual practice due to a variety of reasons. Banks usually respond with a considerable time lag to the changes in RBI’s policy rates. Whenever RBI raises policy rates, it is observed that banks raise their lending rates immediately. However, when RBI lowers policy rates, banks act slowly and lower their loan rates with a substantial time lag. Such downward stickiness in rates is creating problems for RBI in its objectives of achieving price stability and growth.

Monetary policy transmission is the responsiveness of the banking system to the changes in the monetary policy of the RBI. RBI raises policy rates and reserve ratios or decreases them depending on the macro economic conditions, inflation rate, government policies and others.

10. What type of customers can get loans at below Base Rate?

As stated above, there are a few exceptions to Base Rate rule which forbids banks from lending below Base Rate. In the following cases, RBI has permitted banks to fix rates without linking them to Base Rate:

  1. Loans under the DRI scheme
  2. Loans to banks’ own employees
  3. Loans to banks’ depositors against their own deposits

11. What will be the advantages of Base Rate System?

v     RBI has decided to replace the BPLR with Base Rate to make credit pricing more transparent

v     It is expected that higher transparency will benefit all kinds of borrowers irrespective of the size of the loan

v     The Base Rate system is aimed at enhancing transparency in lending rates of banks and enabling better assessment of transmission of monetary policy

12. What will be the impact of the new method?

The biggest impact is that the new Base Rates from commercial banks will be much lower than the existing Benchmark Prime Lending Rates (BPLR). Due to heavy competition in the industry, some aggressive banks, whose cost of deposits/funds is lower compared to industry levels, may peg their Base Rates very low.

The new Base Rate System (BRS) is expected to impact the banks in different ways depending on their cost of deposits, overhead cost, their customer profile, geographical concentration and others. Likewise, the BRS will impact the debtors in various ways.

One biggest benefit with the BRS as cited by policymakers and experts is that it will help the Reserve Bank of India to transmit the changes in policy rates (Repo and Reverse Repo under LAF) in a better manner. Under the BPLR, monetary policy transmission is weak due to lack of transparency in BPLR. This has been brought out elaborately by Deepak Mohanty Committee’s Report. Now, with the BRS, RBI expects that banks will respond immediately to RBI’s policy rates.
  
Let me try to briefly examine the impact of BRS:

Ø     The Base Rate System is expected to usher in a transparent system meaning borrowers will be able to understand how their loan rate is arrived at
Ø      After the implementation of Base Rate, banks will stop fresh lending below their BPLRs as they shift to Base Rate System
Ø      Highly-rated companies have been borrowing at sub-BPLR rate for a long time due to competition among banks and this practice may come to an end after the Base Rate kicks in
Ø     Once BRS comes into effect, rates for short-term bank loans to corporates could rise. However, large and reputed companies with strong balance sheets may explore Commercial Paper (CP) route. Hence, the BRS may not change loan rates for big companies, like, RIL, L&T, ONGC, as they have direct access to CP or bond markets.
Ø    Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) may get favourable rates. The impression in public that SMEs and small borrowers are subsidizing the corporate loans. This type of cross-subsidization will stop from now.
Ø   This is a step towards further deregulation of interest rates as banks will stop giving concessional rates to loans below Rs 2 lakh (especially priority sector loans up to Rs 2 lakh). RBI has given freedom to banks to charge commercial rates for loans below Rs 2 lakh at rates linked to base rate. With this, RBI wants to increase the credit flow to small borrowers.

It remains to be seen how the Base Rate will impact the credit offtake. As of now, credit growth is sluggish due to a variety of reasons. As banks will not be able to lend below Base Rate, corporates will turn toward Commercial Paper route and banks may not be able to lend their surplus funds in the short term. One piquant situation may be that borrowers with ‘AAA’ rating will approach the markets through the Commercial Paper (CP) route. Banks will invest in these CPs and such lending through CP route will not be part of their ‘Advances,’ but part of ‘Investments.’

Alternatively, banks may be tempted to park their surplus with the Reverse Repo window of the RBI’s LAF or invest in G-Secs or liquid schemes of mutual funds.

13. To what kinds of Banks the Base Rate is applicable?

The Base Rate is made applicable by RBI to all scheduled commercial banks (ASCBs) in India, except Regional Rural Banks (RRBs).

 14. Whether banks have fixed their Base Rates?

So far, no bank has fixed its Base Rate. Another two weeks time is available for banks to announce their Base Rates before the deadline of July 1st. State Bank of India, India’s biggest lender, has indicated that it may link its Base Rate to cost of deposits and the Base Rate may be around eight per cent. Average cost of deposits for SBI is 5.80 per cent as on March 2010. And its cumulative net interest margin (NIM) is 2.66 per cent for the financial year 2009-10.

Union Bank of India has hinted that it may set the Base Rate between 8.25 and 8.75 per cent. According to rumours, it seems HDFC Bank is likely to fix its Base Rate at around six per cent. It may be noted that its Net Interest Margin has traditionally been much higher at around 4.0 per cent. In fact, for the year 2009-10, the net interest margin is 4.3 per cent for the bank. This is due to very low cost of deposits, which is at 4.7 per cent for 2009-10.

Overall, the Base Rate range may be between six and nine per cent for most of the commercial banks initially.

15. What is the lending rate for export credit?

In its circular dated April 9, 2010, RBI had stated that it would announce the rates for export credit separately. And as promised, RBI had issued a circular on April 23, 2010 stating that banks should fix their lending rate to export credit (both pre-shipment rupee export credit and post-shipment rupee export credit) at or above the Base Rate. The revised instructions will be effective from July 1, 2010.

16. Why is sub-BPLR rampant in the banking system?

Keeping in view the international practice and to provide further operational flexibility to commercial banks in deciding their lending rates, RBI in April 2001 decided to make PLR a benchmark rate. Accordingly, commercial banks were allowed to lend at sub-PLR rate for loans above Rs.2 lakh. In 2003, RBI replaced the PLR system with BPLR. In the beginning, it was expected that sub-BPLR lending would be marginal. But from 28 per cent of total bank credit in March 2002, sub-BPLR lending had gone up to 77 per cent in September 2008 before declining to 67 per cent in March 2009.

On account of competitive pressures, banks were lending a part of their portfolio at rates below their BPLRs. A large loan offered to a highly rated borrower may be offered at a lower rate below the current all-in-cost BPLR due to little risk and savings on account of processing and monitoring costs. Although justifiable to some extent, such sub-BPLR lending on a large scale has created a perception that large borrowers are being cross subsidized by retail and small borrowers.

(The timeline for the evolution of PLR/BPLR system is given in Annexure III.)

17. What is downward stickiness in rates:

The Working Group has observed that whenever RBI raises policy rates and reserve ratios, banks are quick to increase their loan rates. But, when RBI reduces policy rates and reserve ratios, banks respond very slowly effecting decreased lending rates with a considerable time lag. This is called downward stickiness in rates. RBI has opined that this downward stickiness is adversely impacting the monetary transmission mechanism in the banking system.

One of the major reasons for downward stickiness is the large share of deposits (major portion consists of term deposits with fixed tenure) contracted at high rates in the past. In response to RBI’s reduction of policy rates, banks are not in a position to reduce their lending rates as their cost of funds will remain high for quite some time during the early part of a declining interest rate environment. The marginal cost of funds is more relevant for banks for pricing current loans/advances rather than the average cost which is computed on the basis of the cost of all outstanding purchased and borrowed liabilities reflected in the balance sheet.

The downward stickiness in BPLRs is also attributed to several other factors such as (i) the administered interest rate structure on small savings, which constrains the reduction in deposit rates; (ii) concessional lending rates linked to BPLRs for some sectors, which make overall lending rates less flexible; and (iii) persistence of the large market borrowing programme of the government, which hardens interest rate expectations.

18. What is the criticism of the Base Rate System?

The new Base Rate System has received more brickbats than bouquets from several industry watchers:

  • U.R.Bhat, Dalton Capital Advisors: “The prohibition from lending below the base rate virtually bids goodbye to the principles of free market…Banks may need to lend short-term to low-risk borrowers at rates below the Base Rate depending on the market conditions…” (Economic Times, March 8, 2010).

  • Saurabh Mukherjea, Noble Group: “Seventy per cent of the Indian banking system is in the hands of public sector banks. These banks’ profits will come under pressure as the interest rate cycle moves north…Hence, by diminishing the intensity of competition in the banking sector, RBI is taking care of the interests of public sector titans like the State Bank of India and Punjab National Bank…” (Outlook Profit, 2nd April 2010)

19. CONCLUDING REMARKS

The Base Rate System is only starting from July 1, 2010. The RBI has given a cooling period of six months till December 31, 2010, which gives banks flexibility to experiment with various calculation methods and Base Rates, before settling for a particular method or a specific Base Rate. As such, the system will evolve over a period of time.

We can definitely expect some more changes to the Base Rate System once RBI gets a feel of the new system. Banks have been smart players and they have been making good profits notwithstanding the global financial meltdown of 2008 and the wild movements in interest rates.

It is expected that banks will be able to protect their margins despite the Base Rate System, unless more banking licenses are given by RBI/Government. India’s Telecom Sector has witnessed intense competition in the last two to three years and this has benefited the customers immensely due to steep reduction in telephone tariffs. The competition in Telecom Sector has widened the market base and this has brought higher revenues for the Government in the form of service tax, corporate tax and income tax.

Can we expect that the same thing will happen in the banking sector?

It may not happen in banking sector until more banking licenses have been issued to both the private sector and public sector players. In this backdrop, it remains to be seen whether the twin objectives of RBI of bringing in better transparency and improved monetary policy transmission will be achieved.

Moreover, it will be interesting to watch the response of the market, banks, stakeholders, RBI and the Government to this new development.

  






ANNEXURE I




REPORT OF THE WORKING GROUP ON
BENCHMARK PRIME LENDING RATE HEADED BY DEEPAK MOHANTY

The Working Group had the following terms of reference:

            (i) to review the concept of BPLR and the manner of its computation;
            (ii) to examine the extent of sub-BPLR lending and the reasons thereof;
            (iii) to suggest an appropriate loan pricing system for banks based on           
                  international best practices.

The Committee’s observations and recommendations:

  1. The concept of BPLR is outdated and is out of sync with the present market conditions
  2. BPLR system is not very effective in achieving the objectives of RBI in terms of monetary policy transmission
  3. BPLR system lacks transparency
  4. Due to distortions in the BPLR, banks were lending at rates much below the BPLR thus defeating principles of commercial judgment
  5. A new system called BASE RATE should be introduced replacing the existing BPLR
  6. Base Rate would be based on the following:

                                                              i.            The card interest rate on retail deposits (deposits below Rs 15 lakh) of maturity of up to one year (adjusted for CASA deposits)
                                                            ii.            Loss incurred by banks for maintenance of CRR and SLR
                                                          iii.            Overhead cost of banks
                                                          iv.            Average return on net worth
  1. The actual rate charged to borrowers would be Base Rate increased by operating costs, credit risk premium, tenor premium and others
  2. Banks should not lend at rates below the Base Rate
  3. However, the following exceptions may be given to the above rule, meaning, banks can charge interest rates below the Base Rate for the following types of loans:
                                                               i.            Loans pertaining to selective credit control
                                                            ii.            Credit card receivables
                                                          iii.            Loans to own employees
                                                          iv.            DRI loans
  1. Base Rate System would be applicable for loans with maturity of one year and above (including working capital loans)
  2. Banks may give loans for periods of less than one year at fixed or floating rates without reference to Base Rate subject to certain conditions. In this regard, the Committee has recommended certain ceilings for such sub-Base Rate lending.
  3. Base rate shall be the basis for floating rate loans also. Banks may use Base Rate or any external market-based benchmark rates (like, G-Sec, Repo rate, MIBOR, CP, CD etc).
  4. At present, the Government administers loans of up to Rs 2 lakh to small borrowers, under priority sector and others. This administered regime shall be discontinued and these loans can be brought under the Base Rate system.
  5. Interest rate on rupee export credit should not exceed Base Rate
  6. Educational loans should be given a special exemption and they should continue to be administered. Interest rate on educational loans should not exceed Base Rate plus 200 basis points.
  7. Banks should pass on the information about Base Rates to the public through their websites




ANNEXURE II




Mathematically, the Base Rate is calculated as follows as per RBI’s illustration:

Base Rate = a + b + c + d


a = cost of deposits/funds = CoD


b = Negative carry on CRR and SLR
 
       [ CoD – (SLR x Tr)]
   =  ----------------------- x 100       –      CoD
       [1 – (CRR + SLR)]

           
                                                              Uc
c = Unallocatable overhead cost = ------ x 100
                                                              Dply


                                                                                   NP           NW                                                                                      
d = Average return on net worth = ------ X ------ x 100
                                                              NW      Dply



Where,

D = Total Deposits = Term deposits + Current a/c deposits + Savings deposits

Dply = Deployable deposits
      = Total deposits less share of deposits locked in SLR and CRR
      = D x [1 – (CRR + SLR)]

CRR = Cash Reserve Ratio

SLR = Statutory Liquidity Ratio

Tr = 364-day Treasury Bill rate

Uc = Unallocatable overhead cost

NP = Net profit

NW = Net worth = Capital + free reserves

Negative carry on SLR and CRR: At present, SLR is 25 per cent and CRR is 6 per cent. CRR balance does not provide any return to banks; while the return on SLR balance is lower than the cost of deposits. As such, SLR and CRR carry negative returns for banks.

Unallocatable Overhead Cost: It is fixed overhead cost consisting of Head Office and Corporate Office costs, which cannot be allocated. Examples of such overhead costs are: aggregate employee compensation relating to administrative functions in corporate office, directors’ and auditors’ fees, legal and premises expenses, depreciation, cost of printing and stationery, expenses incurred on communication and advertising and IT spending, etc.
  



ANNEXURE III




Evolution of BPLR in India : A Snapshot

Early 1990s

Till the early 1990s, deposit and lending rates were mostly administered by RBI. In the early 1990s, RBI started deregulating deposit rates and lending rates.

October 1994

Lending rates for loans with credit limits of over Rs. 2 lakh deregulated. Banks were required to declare their Prime lending rates (PLRs).

February 1997

Banks allowed to prescribe separate PLRs and spreads over PLRs, both for loan and cash credit components.

October 1997

For term loans of 3 years and above, separate Prime Term Lending Rates (PTLRs) were required to be announced by banks.

April 1998

PLR converted as a ceiling rate on loans up to Rs.2 lakh.

April 99

Tenor-linked Prime Lending Rates (TPLRs) introduced.

October 1999

Banks were given flexibility to charge interest rates without reference to the PLR in respect of certain categories of loans/credit.

April 2000

Banks allowed to charge fixed/floating rate on their lending for credit limit of over Rs.2 lakh.

April 2001

The PLR ceased to be the floor rate for loans above Rs. 2 lakh.
Commercial banks allowed to lend at sub-PLR rate for loans above Rs.2 lakh.
April 2002

A system of collection of additional information from banks on the (a) maximum and minimum interest rates on advances charged by the banks; and (b) range of interest rates with large value of business and disseminating through the Reserve Bank’s website was introduced.

April 2003

In place of PLR, RBI announced introduction of a new system called Benchmark Prime Lending Rate (BPLR). The Reserve Bank advised banks to announce a BPLR with the approval of their boards. The BPLR was seen as a reference rate and was to be computed taking into consideration (i) cost of funds; (ii) operational expenses; and (iii) a minimum margin to cover regulatory requirements of provisioning and capital charge, and profit margin. The system of tenor-linked PLR discontinued.




ANNEXURE IV




SOME TERMS DEFINED:

Floor Rate                  : It is the rate below which a bank cannot lend
Reference Rate         : It is the rate which is used by banks as a benchmark for arriving                                         at the lending rate. Usually, lending rates are linked to the                                              reference rate. LIBOR (London Inter-bank Offered Rate) is                                          considered a reference rate for a majority of foreign currency                                                   loans available abroad.
PLR                             : Prime Lending Rate was traditionally the lowest rate charged to                                          the prime borrowers with highest credit rating
BPLR                          : The Benchmark Prime Lending Rate was seen as a reference                                            rate and was to be computed taking into consideration (i) cost of                                           funds; (ii) operational expenses; and (iii) a minimum margin to                                             cover regulatory requirements of provisioning and capital charge,                               and profit margin.
Policy Rates              : Repo & Reverse Repo Rates & Bank Rate are RBI’s policy rates   
Reserve Ratios          : SLR and CRR are the reserve ratios of RBI



SOURCES:

RBI website
Deepak Mohanty Committee’s Report of the Working Group on study of BPLR
Economic Times, Business Line, Outlook Profit, etc.


DISCLAIMER: The views are personal. The views need not be construed as those of the organisation which the author represents. He blogs at: 







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 6 349

2.    Currency Futures in India - an update
 3 270

3.    India Budget 2010-11 and its impact on  individuals
 2 782

4.     Income Tax Slabs 2010-11 - Individuals, salaried class
 2 618

5.    Direct Taxes Code Bill 2009-Impact on individuals
 2 541

6.    Public Provident Fund PPF A/C - Little Known Facts
 2 284





TOTAL READS  running towards  77,000!


From A Total of 100 Documents in about 10 months



Other Popular documents of the author include:

IFRS – A Guidebook on International Financial Reporting Standards

Greece Debt Crisis – A Greek Tragedy amid double-dip recession fears

Oil Subsidy Burden – Kirit Parikh Committee recommendations analysed

Best Tax Saving Mutual Funds

Government Securities Market in India & Bond Duration Management

Nifty BeES – An Exchange Traded Fund explained

What is Sensex and its importance in the Indian Stock Market

Interest Rate Futures introduced in India

Commodities Trading in India – A Guidebook

Junior NiftyBeES – How to make higher profits

European Central Bank-ECB-Its Key Policy Rates decoded



Sunday, 2 May 2010

IFRS vs USGAAP - CONTRAST and COMPARE!-VRK100-02052010

IFRS vs USGAAP - CONTRAST and COMPARE!

Rama Krishna Vadlamudi   

BOMBAY                         May 2, 2010


Dear Friend,

I've prepared an article about the differences and similarities between IFRS vs USGAAP.


This is particularly useful to CFA Level 1 candidates, though Level 2 and 3 candidates too may find it worth reading for the exams.


The beauty of this document is that it is prepared in a TABULAR format -- which is extremely easy to understand and remember.


Many questions are expected from the differences between IFRS and USGAAP -- the tables prepared will be extremely handy from an examination point of view.


Please forward the following link to your friends who are appearing for CFA exam.



http://www.scribd.com/doc/30810263


or,



http://groups.google.co.in/group/random-thoughts-on-investments/files?hl=en&&sort=date





If any mistakes are there in the article, please inform me.


with regards,


Rama Krishna V


PS: In the next few weeks, I shall update this document with more differences and similarities between IFRS and USGAAP. Keep a watch!

Saturday, 17 April 2010

RBI MONETARY POLICY April 2010-What are the expectations?-VRK100-17042010

RBI MONETARY POLICY APRIL 2010


WHAT ARE THE EXPECTATIONS?


Rama Krishna Vadlamudi, BOMBAY          April 17, 2010


http://www.scribd.com/vrk100


If you want to read this article in reader-friendly PDF document, just click:

http://www.scribd.com/doc/30071248

"Lender of the Last Resort"

This is the most apt phrase that has been used in the past to describe a central bank in any country. However, central banks do not only this but also several functions, like, monetary policy, price stability, stimulating the growth drivers in the economy, currency note printing and acting as money manager for the governments, among other things. Due to several upheavals in the financial world, the role of central banks has transformed a lot lately.



"Market Maker of the Last Resort"

This is a new phrase ascribed to central banks during the global financial meltdown of 2008. During that time, almost all the central banks, including the US Fed, ECB, PBOC, etc, had pumped in huge money into their country’s banking system in an effort to avoid economic recession. This massive effort was dubbed as ‘quantitative easing.’ As a result of buying back of mortgage securities of inferior quality and other securities, the central banks have avoided the collapse of their banking system for the time being. Even Reserve Bank of India massively reduced its policy rates and reserve ratios and helped stabilizing the Indian markets.


"Borrower of the First Resort"


Reserve Bank of India had continued with its accommodative policy till the end of January 2010 when it raised the country’s cash reserve ratio (CRR) by 75 bp to 5.75 per cent. It was followed up with a 25 basis point hike each in both repo and reverse repo rates at the end of last month. But despite that, During the first week of April, banks kept around Rs 1,00,000 crore daily with the RBI and this has now come down to a daily average of about Rs 50,000 crore – which means RBI is borrowing money from banks for short-term and it has become a Borrower of First Resort – and what a transition from lender of last resort to borrower of first resort!


Reserve Bank of India is coming out with its Annual Policy (monetary policy) for the year 2010-11 on April 20, 2010. Only three weeks back, RBI had given a strong signal regarding its strong intentions to control inflationary expectations by raising the repo and reverse repo rates by 25 basis points each to 5 and 3.50 per cent respectively. In the month of January, it raised CRR (cash reserve ratio) by 75 basis points to 5.75 per cent. In this background, it is very interesting to predict what actions RBI will take to keep the economy on even keel balancing between containing inflation and sustaining reasonable growth. Let us discuss the expectations from the RBI’s monetary policy for 2010-11.



Till January, RBI continued with its accommodative policy for around 18 months in the wake of financial turmoil that roiled the markets severely. Despite steep hike in CRR and withdrawal of other measures, there is still huge liquidity in the banking system.



Reserve Bank of Australia raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.25 per cent in a meeting early this month. The US had raised its discount rate by 25 basis points to 0.75 per cent in February this year for the first time in more than a year. China is also raising its cash requirement ratios regularly since January 2010.



For the month of January of this year, inflation based on wholesale price index (WPI) was 8.56 per cent. But, in two months it has gone up to almost 10 per cent. This indeed is a very sharp increase in inflation. Even, food inflation is still around 17 per cent. How the South-West Monsoon will play out remains to be seen. Fuel prices were raised at end February. Whether fuel prices will be raised further by the Government, as world crude oil prices had shot up to USD 87/barrel on the Nymex, has become a big speculative point in the markets of late. Even though crude prices have come down to less that USD 83 per barrel, the sharp rise in crude prices is a matter of concern to the Government in bridging fiscal deficit in the current year.

FOREIGN FLOWS:

As can be seen from the above table, there is a deluge of foreign money into India since March 2009. In addition to equity markets (both secondary and primary markets), debt markets too attracted net inflows of USD 4,785 million or Rs 21,887 crore during this calendar year alone, breaching the overall limit set by the Government for FII debt flows. Rupee too appreciated sharply of late. This year it had shown an appreciation of around four per cent against the US dollar. Now, rupee was quoting at around 44.30 to the dollar at close of Friday.



The above FII figures do not include money received through FDI (foreign direct investment) route or ECB/FCCBs (external commercial borrowings/foreign currency convertible bonds). Latest figures from RBI put foreign exchange reserves at Rs 12.43 lakh crore or USD 280 billion. During 2009-10, the reserves went up by 9.4 per cent in dollar terms, but in rupee terms the appreciation in reserves was less than two per cent as rupee itself appreciated against dollar by around 12 per cent in 2009-10. The table given below shows the FII net inflows for calendar year 2009. Both equity and debt markets including, India attracted net inflows of USD 18,507 million or Rs 87,987 crore, as per SEBI.


What are the expectations from RBI’s Annual Policy on April 20, 2010?



It is estimated by government agencies that India’s GDP would show a growth of 7.2 per cent for 209-10. During the third and second quarters of 2009-10, GDP grew by 6.0 and 7.9 per cent respectively. For the fourth quarter of 2009-10, GDP is expected to grow by 8.6 per cent. Industrial production seems to have gained traction of late as per the IIP figures, prompting the government to raise excise/CENVAT duties during February. Exports are showing moderate growth compared to previous year.



The yields of the government securities are hardening. As per latest data, the benchmark 10-year G-Sec yield has gone up, in the last three months, by around 40 basis points to the present 8.08 per cent; while the 364-day T-bill has increased by 100 basis points to 5.40 per cent.



The government is expected to borrow 63 per cent of its total borrowing during the first half of this year. This year will be tough for RBI to manage the huge government borrowing as it did not have the cushion it had last year in the form of MSS buyback of securities. The year 2010-11 is going to be a real test for RBI. Interest rates are on an upward trajectory as inflation is not showing any signs of relenting with WPI inflation at 9.9 per cent and food inflation at around 17 per cent. Steel and other manufacturing product prices too are rising. RBI may resort to some unconventional measures this year, like, issue of more floating rate bonds, tweaking of HTM category norms, cash management bills, or a cap on LAF-reverse repo window, or some other measures. During YV Reddy’s regime, RBI imposed a limit on reverse repo absorption window, which was withdrawn subsequently. Another measure at RBI’s disposal is hiking SLR ratio.



Huge inflows in the form of portfolio investment, ECB/FCCBs and FDI are going to be a big challenge. Whether the government would resort to taxing the FII/FDI inflows (like Tobin Tax or a transaction tax imposed by Brazil recently) remains to be seen. The imposition of a tax similar to Tobin Tax to curb unbridled growth of foreign money is strongly advocated by YV Reddy, former governor of RBI.



Taking the rising inflation, huge liquidity in the system, deluge of foreign money, robust GDP growth, the following policy measures can be expected from RBI:



 Raise in repo and reverse repo (LAF) rates by 25 basis points each



 Raise in CRR by 50 basis points



In the bond market, the benchmark 10-year yield may go up to 8.50 per cent gradually; while the stock market may react negatively and the indices, especially, banking, auto & realty indices, may drift down in the next one month.



Design and tables: Author                              Disclaimer: The views are personal

Chinese Yuan Revaluation-China and America are at loggerheads-VRK100-16042010

IS IT THE ULTIMATE CURRENCY WAR?


AMERICA AND CHINA ARE AT LOGGERHEADS


WHAT IS THE STORY BEHIND THE STORY?

Rama Krishna Vadlamudi                             April 16, 2010

http://www.scribd.com/vrk100

If you want to read this article in a reader-friendly PDF documet, JUST CLICK:


http://www.scribd.com/doc/30063584


The controversy surrounding the revaluation of Chinese currency Yuan has occupied the attention of the market players and politicians in the last few months. The million-dollar question is: will they or won't they – meaning whether China will allow its currency to appreciate against the US dollar?

Two weeks back, American Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner postponed releasing a Currency Report. It was expected that this report would have dubbed China as a ‘currency manipulator’ – triggering a trade war between China and America. Such a trade war would have adverse implications for the world trade and would send shock waves across the global financial markets. So, what are the chances of such a panic reaction from the markets happening in the next few quarters? Let us try to examine the issue in detail:

THE SPAT BETWEEN PAUL KRUGMAN AND STEPHEN ROACH

China has kept the Yuan stable against the dollar since September 2008, when Lehman Brothers collapse caused havoc in the financial markets across the globe. Many Americans, including Nobel laureate in economics Paul Krugman, believe that America should pressurize China to appreciate the Yuan. Those in this ‘hard line’ camp argue that China is causing a lot of damage to the world trade (read it as American economy) by keeping the Yuan pegged to the dollar constantly. A few months back, a Reuters’ Survey had put the undervaluation of Yuan at around 20 per cent, meaning Yuan should have moved from the present 6.83 to around 5.50 per dollar had China not halted its appreciation in September 2008 post-Lehman Brothers collapse.

However, there are others who believe that America alone is responsible for its twin deficits - both trade and fiscal. A respected financial expert Stephen Roach, Morgan Stanley Asia chairman, argues that America should mind its own business rather than blaming China for the woes of their own-making. He openly crossed swords with Paul Krugman recently about the American strategy on Yuan revaluation. A big problem for America is its lack of competitiveness.

If Yuan appreciates against the dollar, it will make Chinese exports to America costlier. And this may help bridge the big trade deficit America has with China in a limited way. America has got its own problems. For example, it has got huge fiscal and trade deficits. And Chinese exchange rate policy is not responsible for American mess which is self-created. Another thing is America is not a nation of savers, like, Japan or Germany. Till recently, Americans had negative savings. After the global financial meltdown, there is some upturn in savings from American households.

CHINA IS WORLD’s FACTORY:

China is a global manufacturing factory and is heavily dependent on its exports. Any adverse impact on its exports will undermine its labour markets. China has to protect its domestic economy from the ill-effects of the global financial meltdown. China’s first priority is to protect the jobs of its domestic workers, in an effort to “maximize export employment.” So, it has been playing very hard with its currency by not allowing any appreciation against the US dollar. However, this has earned the wrath of many of its trading partners.

China has been enjoying huge trade surpluses (exports much higher than imports) for several years. As a result of its long-running trade surplus, China amassed huge foreign exchange reserves, which are at USD 2.45 trillion as at the end of March 2010 making China the world’s biggest holder of foreign exchange reserves. In Indian rupee terms, China’s reserves are at Rs 109 lakh crore or almost nine times that of India’s reserves. India’s latest figures show their foreign exchange reserves at Rs 12.4 lakh crore or USD 280 billion. (1 trillion = 1,000 billion or one lakh crore)

Paradoxically, out of this massive foreign exchange reserves of USD 2.45 trillion, China has invested around USD 900 billion in US Government securities (or US Treasurys). It is in the interest of both America and China not to escalate the current controversy into a full-blown trade war. A trade war does not do any good to either country. So, in the interest of world trade, these two countries shall desist from any hawkish approach and try to look for some ‘soft’ approach in resolving the current currency row.

CHINA EASED ITS CURRENCY POLICY IN JULY 2005



China eased its currency policy in July 2005. At that time, their central bank, the People’s Bank of China, made it clear that it would ‘ease’ but not abandon its traditional peg to the dollar. It had allowed a managed float for Yuan against a basket of currencies of countries with which it trades. In July 2005, one US dollar was fetching around 8.30 Yuan. With its managed float stance, the Yuan is quoting at around 6.83 to the dollar now – indicating an 18 per cent appreciation of Yuan against the dollar between July 2005 and September 2008.



Since the middle of September 2008, China reverted back to its traditional peg to the US dollar. Many other Asian countries, including India, have allowed two-way movement of their national currencies against the US dollar despite their own economic problems.



JOSEPH STIGLITZ: No time for trade war

“Saudi Arabia’s trade surplus of USD 212 billion (11.5% of its GDP) in 2008 dwarfs China’s USD 175 billion surplus (5% of its GDP), as a percentage of GDP. China’s current account surplus is actually less than that of Japan and Germany (5.2% of GDP). Then, why blame China alone for American deficits?”

Thus said Joseph Stiglitz, Nobel Prize winner of economics, in an article published in Economic Times dated April 16, 2010



CHINA AND AMERICA: SIAMESE TWINS?



The dollar has appreciated by about 10 per cent against major currencies in the last five months easing the Chinese concerns on the safety of their investments in US Treasurys. On its part, China needs to reorient and rebalance its economy from export-driven to domestic consumption-led, like the way India has been doing now. All indications at this point of time show that in the next year China would definitely allow Yuan’s appreciation of around 4 to 6 per cent with a caveat that they would do it at their own pace and convenience.



If America and China decide to go for a full-blown trade war, this would have disastrous consequences for world trade – which would send the stock markets into a jittery phase and the indices may fall sharply in a matter of few days if not hours.


Picture courtesy: PBOC, US Treasury

Tuesday, 13 April 2010

IPL FINAL MATCH! Fierce Fighting between Mumbai and Hyderabad-VRK100-12042010

IPL FINAL MATCH!


Fierce Fighting By Mumbai and Hyderabad!






Rama Krishna Vadlamudi, BOMBAY      April 12, 2010

For reading full article on the above subject in a READER-FRIENDLY PDF document, just click:




http://www.scribd.com/doc/29804169




A different kind of battle is being fought fiercely by the plucky Mumbai and the resilient Hyderabad teams. The brawl is about who should control the Indian ‘Premium’ League (IPL). Sorry guys! This is not about IPL – the Indian Premier League. The slugfest is about the battle for ‘Premium’ that investors pay for their investment in Unit Linked Insurance Plans being sold by life insurance companies. Well, the Mumbai-based SEBI and the Hyderabad-based IRDA are fighting an unprecedented turf war in Indian financial markets. This is about who should control ULIPs. ULIPs are basically savings products with a sprinkle of insurance. While about 95 per cent of the ULIP premium will be invested in equity markets, the remaining five per cent is set aside towards the life cover of the insured, that is the ULIP policyholder.


FLASH NEWS!



Meanwhile, latest news being flashed by the media is that the crisis about ULIPs has been resolved temporarily after the intervention of the Government through the Finance Minister, Pranab Mukherjee. The Ministry of Finance has devised a formula for resolving the tussle. As per the formula, SEBI and IRDA have agreed to decide the issue in an appropriate court, whose judgment would be binding on SEBI and IRDA.



The last word is yet to be said about the controversy. We can expect lot of fireworks in the next few quarters if not years in this regard.



What is the background to the row?



The latest row had started when SEBI had banned 14 life insurance companies from selling ULIPs a few days back. A day later, IRDA had directed insurance companies to ignore SEBI’s order and continue to sell ULIPs as usual. This had created a lot of confusion among millions of ULIP policyholders.



SEBI argues that ULIPs come under the purview of Collective Investment Schemes – this financial product is regulated by SEBI. SEBI’s contention has been that insurance companies should take its permission before launching any ULIPs. As the structure of ULIP is basically investment in equity markets, SEBI’s seems to be correct in its stance of regulating ULIPs. SEBI’s is on a good legal wicket as far as regulation of ULIPs is concerned.



As we have seen in the case of Exchange-traded Currency Futures (which were introduced in August 2008), two entities can regulate any financial product if there is an overlap. Both SEBI and RBI regulate currency futures market in India . Even in case of Exchange-traded Interest Rate Futures (which were introduced in August 2009), both SEBI and RBI are the regulators. As such, it would not be wrong to think that ULIPs can be regulated by both SEBI and IRDA.



Are our laws inadequate?



Ajay Shah, a veteran expert on financial markets from NIPFP, argues that more products may need to be brought under joint regulation. He argues that Government Securities, which are traded on NDS platform daily, shall be brought under the control SEBI.



We have one body called High-Level Coordination Committee on Financial Markets (HLCCFM) with representatives from several regulators, RBI, SEBI, IRDA, etc. This body is headed by RBI. This is supposed to resolve inter-regulatory issues.



New Initiatives by GOI



One initiative in the recent Union Budget 2010-11 is the proposal to set up a Fiscal Stability and Development Council to sort out any issues between the regulators of financial markets, like, RBI, IRDA, SEBI, PFRDA, etc. Let us hope that initiatives like these will bring more clarity on India ’s financial sector regulation in future.



Another important area that has been hanging fire for a long time is who should control financial conglomerates – which operate in all areas of finance from insurance, banking to mutual funds. RBI has been sitting on the framework for establishing holding companies for Banking Group.



The country’s biggest bank, SBI and ICICI Bank wanted to set up their own holding companies encompassing all its businesses, from banking, insurance and mutual funds. ICICI Bank wanted to monetize its insurance and AMC businesses. But, RBI and the




WHAT SHOULD INVESTORS DO?



Even though IRDA has taken a number of initiatives to curb the practice of mis-selling them, ULIPs are not suitable to many investors – simply put, they are bad products for most of the investors. In India , most of the individual investors are risk-averse; but, they have been sold these ULIPs..



Investors need not worry about the controversy between SEBI and IRDA. Things will take their own course in India . If investors understand the ULIP products well, they can continue to invest their money in ULIPs after assessing their asset allocation, risk appetite and suitability of the financial products. My personal opinion is that ULIPs are bad products despite some improvements in their structure in the last few quarters. It would be better if we avoid them at all costs.


Disclaimer: The views of the author are personal.               Picture courtesy: Google



You can read some of my BEST documents at…


1. IFRS-A Guidebook on Convergence to Global Standards – VRK100 – 28032010

http://www.scribd.com/doc/29050580


2. RBI hikes Repo and Reverse Repo Rates by 25 bp – WHY? – VRK100 – 20032010

http://www.scribd.com/doc/28660075

3. Income Tax Slabs 2010-11-Resident Indians, Salaried Class, HUF, Etc-VRK100-28022010


http://www.scribd.com/doc/27601595

4. Indian Budget 2010-11 - HIGHLIGHTS and ITS impact on Individuals and Companies-28022010


http://www.scribd.com/doc/27572671

5. GREECE DEBT CRISIS - A Greek Tragedy Amid Double-Dip Recession Fears-VRK100-16022010

http://www.scribd.com/doc/26955409


For more, www.scribd.com/vrk100


The author writes copiously, blogs extensively and invests in stocks for fun!