Indian Economy-Strengths and Weaknesses-VRK100-05Oct2011

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Please see update dated 01 September 2013:

http://ramakrishnavadlamudi.blogspot.in/2013/09/indian-economys-strengths-and.html

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Indian Economy-Strengths and Weaknesses

The Strengths are:

ü      Indian economy is driven by domestic consumption of late and is less dependent on exports as compared to other Asian nations

ü      Savings rate is very high at around 35 per cent (of course, the high savings rate is mainly due to the fact that common people have no social security)

ü      India’s population is very young providing good demographic benefits in the form of higher productivity and higher consumption of goods and services

ü      The level of entrepreneurship has gone up substantially after liberalization

ü      Indian banking system is very strong providing financial stability despite concerns about quality of assets of late

ü      India has vast natural resources

ü      India’s skills in export sectors – like, software services, engineering goods, gems & jewellery and garments – are well recognized across the world

ü      India has become a world manufacturing hub for automobiles

ü      Indian companies, in general, are in good health carrying huge cash balances and lower debt levels on their balance sheets

ü      If implemented properly, Goods and Services Tax will boost tax revenues

The weaknesses are:

Ø      Inflation remains persistent at around 8 to 10 per cent for about four years

Ø      Large price rise in food articles is affecting the poor people very adversely

Ø      Corruption is entrenched in the entire social fabric

Ø      India’s national income growth has slowed down due to rising interest rates, decline in investment cycle and gloomy global outlook

Ø      Fiscal deficit is getting out of control as the government is unable to control expenditure and resorting to higher market borrowings

Ø      Current account deficit is manageable now, but it may go out of hand in future if not handled properly

Ø      New project clearances are delayed due to environmental concerns and problems related with land acquisition leading to social unrest stemming from improper resettlement and rehabilitation

Ø      Despite huge population, there is massive skills deficit across industries

Ø      There is a perception that the government is unable to push economic reforms due to a spate of corruption scandals that surfaced recently

Ø      The micro challenges for India are healthcare, malnutrition, hunger, poverty and illiteracy

Ø      Hard infrastructure (roads, ports, power, broadband, etc) is very weak and energy security is poor

Ø      Low agricultural productivity – we need a second green revolution

GOODS AND SERVICES TAX-FIRST DISCUSSION PAPER ON GST-VRK100-11112009

Goods and Services Tax

First Discussion Paper on GST

AUTHOR: Rama Krishna Vadlamudi Bombay

November 11th, 2009


http://ramakrishnavadlamudi.blogspot.com/

Implementation and introduction of Goods and Services Tax (GST) is one of the long-awaited critical economic reforms that are expected of the re-elected Indian Government. Much water has flowed down the Ganges since the concept of GST had hit newspaper headlines some years back. The word ‘GST’ has occupied the mind space of policy makers as well as public at large for the past few years.

The Empowered Committee of States’ Finance Ministers had met on November 11, 2009 and agreed for a dual structure of GST – Central GST (CGST) and State GST (SGST) while releasing the First Discussion Paper on GST in India. The rates for CGST and SGST will be decided later. Likewise, the date of GST rollout also will be decided later.  A Joint Working Group (JWG), which was set up on September 30, 2009, is entrusted with the task of preparation of draft acts pertaining to CGST, SGST and IGST and other constitutional amendments.

ABBREVIATIONS:

CENVAT        : Central VAT

CGST             : Central GST

CST                : Central Sales Tax

GOI                 : Government of India

GST                : Goods and Services Tax

IGST               : Integrated GST

ITC                  : Input Tax Credit

MODVAT       : Modified VAT

SGST             : State GST

VAT                : Value Added Tax

CONTENTS                                                     PAGE

1. Highlights of First Discussion Paper on GST in India                 2                     

2. What are the issues that are yet to be sorted out?                             5                     

3. What is the impact of GST on India Inc?                                         5

4. Who are the beneficiaries of GST?                                                      6

5. What is the overall impact of GST on economy?                          6

6. What is the background to the introduction of GST?                                    7

7. What is the present setup in relation to indirect taxes?                    7

8. What is the principle behind the concept of VAT?                            8

9. What is the definition of GST?                                                              8

10. What is the need for introduction of GST?                                       9

11. How does the GST work at the ground level?

      (a practical example)                                                                           9

12. What are the merits of GST?                                                            10

13. What are the pre-requisites for successful

      implementation of GST?                                                                   10

14. What are the GST rates likely to be?                                               11

15. What will be the effective date of GST rollout?                             11

. Highlights of the First Discussion Paper on GST in India

The following are the highlights of the “First Discussion Paper on Goods and Services Tax in India” announced by the Empowered Committee on State Finance Minister in New Delhi on November 10, 2009 in the presence of Union Finance Minister, Pranab Mukherjee (the committee’s chairman and West Bengal finance minister Asim Dasgupta released the document in New Delhi):

1. The Empowered Committee has agreed to phase out CST (central sales tax – at present at a rate of two per cent) upon introduction of GST (Goods and Services Tax) on the understanding that the States would be adequately compensated, by the Centre, for any revenues loss on account of phasing out of CST
2. DUAL GST: A dual GST structure is recommended. The two components are: Central GST (CGST) to be imposed by the Centre and State GST (SGST) by the States. Rates of GST would be decided later.
3. The date of implementation of GST will also be decided later
4. Separate acts will be enacted at the Centre and the States to implement CGST and SGST respectively.
5. Since the Central GST and State GST are to be treated separately, taxes paid against the Central GST shall be allowed to be taken as input tax credit (ITC) for the Central GST and could be utilized only against the payment of Central GST. The same principle will be applicable for the State GST.
6. Cross utilization of ITC between the Central GST and the State GST would not be allowed except in the case of inter-State supply of goods and services under the IGST (Integrated GST) model. IGST would consist of both the Central GST (CGST) and the state GST (SGST).
7. A uniform threshold of annual gross turnover of Rs 10 lakh is proposed for all goods and services for SGST applicable for all States and Union Territories. Below this threshold limit, State GST is not applicable. The threshold limit for Central GST may be kept at Rs 1.5 crore for goods and Central GST may be kept at higher levels for services.
8. Each taxpayer would be allotted a PAN-linked taxpayer identification number

9. The following Central Taxes should be, to begin with, subsumed under the Goods and Services Tax:

                        (i) Central Excise Duty

                        (ii) Additional Excise Duties

                        (iii) Excise Duty levied under the Medicinal & Toiletries Preparation Act

                        (iv) Service Tax

                        (v) Additional Customs Duty, also known as Countervailing Duty (CVD)

                        (vi) Special Additional Duty of Customs - 4% (SAD)

                        (vii) Surcharges, and

                  (viii) Cesses.

10. Following State taxes and levies would be, to begin with, subsumed under GST:

                        (i) VAT / Sales tax

                        (ii) Entertainment tax (unless it is levied by the local bodies).

                        (iii) Luxury tax

                        (iv) Taxes on lottery, betting and gambling.

                        (v) State Cesses and Surcharges in so far as they relate to supply of                                              goods and services.

                        (vi) Entry tax not in lieu of octroi

11. Some Taxes kept out of GST purview:

1. Alcoholic Beverages:  They will be kept out of GST

2. Crude oil, diesel, petrol and ATF: They will be kept out of GST. States will be free to levy taxes on them.

12. Decision is yet to be taken on certain taxes:

1. Purchase Tax: (Usually imposed by Punjab and Haryana on buyers of food grains): The decision to subsume this under GST will be decided later in consultation with GOI.
2. Natural Gas: A final view will be taken later in consultation with GOI.

13. Tobacco Products: They will be subjected to GST with input tax credit (ITC)

14. Taxation of Services: Both the Centre and States will have concurrent power to levy tax on all goods and services. For inter-State transactions an innovative model of Integrated GST will be adopted by appropriately aligning and integrating CGST and SGST.
15. GST Rate Structure: It has been decided to adopt a two-rate structure – a lower rate for necessary items and goods of basic importance and a standard rate for goods in general. There will also be a special rate for precious metals and a list of exempted items. The GST rates will be decided later.
16. Exports: They would be zero-rated, meaning exporters of goods and services need not pay GST on their exports. GST paid by them on the procurement of goods and services will be refunded. Exports are “zero rated’ as in competitive international markets one cannot export taxes!
17. Imports: Both CGST and SGST will be imposed on imports of goods and services into the country
18. The administration of GST shall be divided into states and Centre with a proposition to have uniform compliance procedures across states under the respective laws.
19. Constitutional Amendments: The implementation of GST requires some legal and constitutional changes. The government may have to bring out an Integrated Goods and Services Act replacing the existing acts governing a plethora of taxes. A Joint Working Group (JWG) was set up on September 30, 2009 to address these issues and prepare the necessary draft constitutional amendments. The States, at present, do not have the powers to levy a tax on supply of services; while the Centre does not have power to levy tax on the sale of goods. For the GST to be introduced at the State level, it is essential that the States should be given the power of levy of taxation of all services. This power of levy of service taxes has so long been only with the Centre. A Constitutional Amendment will be made for giving this power also to the States.
20.  Adequate compensation to States: It would be essential to provide adequately for compensation for loss that might emerge during the process of implementation of GST for the next five years. This issue may be comprehensively taken care of in the recommendations of the Thirteenth Finance Commission.
21. IT Infrastructure: This has to be expedited at the level of Centre and States.
22. The spirit of fiscal federalism must be kept in mind always. This spirit of co-operative federalism is the essence of GST and the only feature that would ensure that a national market with free movement of goods and services across State boundaries develops, in the true sense.

What are the issues that are yet to be sorted out?

• One interpretation from the First Discussion Paper of November 10, 2009, is that Octroi seems to have been kept out the GST diluting the spirit behind introduction of GST. Many experts infer that octroi, which is at present applicable on entry of goods in specified areas, may not be subsumed into GST and would continue to be levied by local bodies.
• The rates of CGST and SGST have not been specified in the discussion paper
• Also, the probable date of implementation date has also not been specified in the discussion paper. Many experts feels that the date may get postponed to October 1^st, 2010 instead of the original April 1^st, 2010.
• The discussion paper has not suggested any threshold limit of annual gross turnover (below which GST will not be made applicable) for Central GST on services; while the threshold limit for CGST on goods has been kept at Rs 1.5 crore.

• The process of consensus build-up is underway on GST rates and compensation formula for possible revenue loss for states

What is the impact of GST on India Inc?

It is debatable whether India Inc is ready for a rollout of GST by April 1, 2010. The implications for India Inc are enormous. Overall, GST is expected to reduce tax incidence for several goods and services in the country. Lesser taxes and cost means higher demand for goods and services. GST is expected to bring in uniform indirect tax system across the country which is easy to understand and implement. Its effective implementation will have beneficial impact on Indian companies in the form of lower working capital needs, better supply chain management, reduction in ware house costs, and others. Reduced working capital requirement would result in less interest costs.

o          A company, like, Maruti Suzuki, is readying itself for GST rollout. The company thinks with GST, the tax incidence on their cars will come down substantially which means the demand for their cars would go up.

o          Tax experts are of the opinion that GST will result in reduced taxes for many goods and services

o          GST is going to change the way FMCG and other manufacturing companies do business in India. Companies have to be better prepared for its rollout and make their processes (IT, business, etc) stronger well before GST implementation.

o          Industries, like, cement, aluminium, copper, VFY, telecom, FMCG suffer from not only heavy taxation but also, multiple taxation and various slabs. Once GST is implemented these sectors will be relieved of the twin problems of higher and multiple taxation. It will have a salutary impact on the operations of these companies.

o          The impact on FMCG sector will be from a different perspective also. After GST, the need for maintaining several warehouses across the states will be removed. This is big scope for FMCG companies to restructure their operations, logistics and ERP systems in a big way.

o          In the existing regime, companies set up several warehouses in many states to avoid certain taxes. With the introduction of GST, companies need not resort to such practice of setting up warehouses in many states.

o          Once GST is introduced, several bottlenecks in the supply chain can be removed and companies will save substantial costs

o          A corollary of the reorganization on the part of FMCG sector will be felt on the logistics sector. This entire supply chain will undergo a thorough overhaul and this will create huge opportunities, for integrated logistics players in India. The dynamics involved in this massive exercise are yet to fully appreciated or analysed in the investor community. However, industry veterans, like, Adi Godrej, have been expressing the readiness of their companies for the GST rollout.

o          The implementation of GST across the Centre and States and UTs presupposes the existence of a robust information technology (IT) services. This is a great opportunity for IT and IT-related companies, especially, in the medium-sized IT players.

o          The operations of NBFCs too will undergo as they too suffer from various forms of service taxes. It is hoped that the GST rollout will create tremendous scope for NBFCs to ease their burden of multiple taxes.

Who are the beneficiaries after GST?

The effective implementation of GST is expected to benefit the government, industry, traders, companies, end-consumers, lawyers, accountants, IT service providers, etc.

What is the overall impact of GST on economy?

Dr. Vijay Kelkar, currently chairman of the 13^th Finance Commission, says the introduction of GST would be the single biggest measure after the elimination of licensing in 1991. In fact, this could also provide the requisite stimulus to the economy during the present economic slow down. GST once introduced will create a common market across the length and breadth of the country. Effective implementation of a unified GST with minimum exemptions will give a fillip to the GDP growth. As per the rough estimates of Dr. Vijay Kelkar, the economic value of the GST reforms in India will be to an extent of USD 500 billion, or roughly 50 per cent of India’s GDP. The introduction of GST is expected to have a salutary impact on total tax collections, employment and fiscal deficit.

The 13^th Finance Commission, that was set up in November 2007 (award period: 2010-15), is reviewing the GST structure and deciding on the sharing of taxes between the Centre and States. State finances would be shaped by the recommendations of the Commission.

Let us examine, briefly, the contours of the proposed GST and the background thereto:

What is the background to the introduction of GST?

In India, VAT was introduced at the Central level for select commodities in terms of MODVAT with effect from March 1, 1986, and in a step-by-step manner for all commodities in terms of CENVAT in 2002-03. Subsequently, after Constitutional Amendment empowering the Centre to levy taxes on services, these service taxes were also added to CENVAT in 2004-05.

The concept of Goods and Services Tax or GST was mooted by Dr. Vijay Kelkar, former Finance Secretary in 2004. The Kelkar Task Force had suggested a comprehensive Goods and Services Tax (GST) based on VAT (value added tax) principle.  VAT was introduced in India from April 1, 2005 with a view to substituting sales tax with many falling states in line from that that date onwards. Afterwards, the remaining states had fallen in line. Now, all States and Union Territories implemented Value Added Tax in lieu of sales tax and VAT has been an unqualified success in raising the tax revenue for the States. The rate of growth of tax revenue has nearly doubled from the average annual rate of growth in the pre-VAT five-year period after the introduction of VAT.

After VAT, the next logical step is GST. GST is an improvement over VAT. The implementation of GST is a step towards a comprehensive indirect tax reform in the country. The groundwork for implementation of GST with effect from April 1, 2010, was started way back in 2007 after the then Finance Minister, P.Chidambaram, announced GST rollout while presenting the Union Budget 2007-08 in Parliament.

France introduced GST in 1954 being the first country to introduce it. As of now, it is prevalent in more than 140 countries, including, Canada, Australia, the UK, China, Germany, New Zealand and Singapore. Most countries introduced a single GST while Brazil & Canada have a dual GST.

What is the present setup in relation to indirect taxes?

At present, the Central Government levies tax on goods at the manufacturing level in the form of CENVAT, whereas the State Governments impose tax on goods at the point of sale in the form of VAT. The responsibility of taxing services lies with the Central Government, which began the service tax in 1994. As of now, the tax base is fragmented between the Centre and the States. The present indirect tax system is very complex with a multitude of taxes both at the Centre and State level and a surfeit of tax exemptions leading to inefficient tax collection. The States, at present, do not have the powers to levy a tax on supply of services; while the Centre does not have power to levy tax on the sale of goods.

What is the principle behind the concept of VAT?

                                

Before we delve deeper into the features of GST, it would be instructive to know something about ‘VAT principle.’

The VAT principle is that only the incremental value added at each stage of production is taxed. Businesses are assessed for taxes on the total value of their sales but receive credit for the taxes paid by their suppliers. In India, this has become a generic term for a consumption tax collected at all points of exchange of goods and services. This principle is used in the present CENVAT, the State VAT and the proposed GST.

In sales tax, there is no provision for input tax credit, which means that the end consumer may pay tax on an input that has already been taxed previously. This is known as cascading effect and leads to increase in consumer tax and price levels; which may result in tax evasion and can be detrimental to economic growth. In contrast, VAT provides for input credit. VAT is intended to be levied whenever there is some value addition to raw material. The taxpayers on the other hand will get input tax credit, or ITC, for the amount of tax paid off at several stages of procurement. As VAT is imposed on value addition – at every single stage – there is no incidence of cascading. In this way, the final consumers bear the burden of paying value added tax. The individual consumers cannot recover VAT on purchases made by them. However, businesses can recover VAT on the services and materials, which are bought by them in order to continue the supply of the products and services.

CENVAT or Central Value Added Tax: This is nothing but basic excise duty levied by the central government upto the manufacturing level. The bulk of what is commonly termed ‘excise collections’ in India now takes place under the framework of the CENVAT. Modvat (modified value added tax) was introduced in India in 1986. Modvat was re-named as Cenvat w.e.f. April 1, 2000.

IGST Act or Indian Goods and Services Act: This is the proposed name for the new legislation which will give legal foundations to the Central GST.

What is the definition of GST?

GST is a tax on goods and services with comprehensive and continuous chain of set-off benefits from the producer’s point and service provider’s point up to the retailer’s level. It is essentially a tax only on value addition at each stage, and a supplier at each stage is permitted to set-off, through a tax credit mechanism.

GST is a unified tax on goods and services aimed at replacing the multiple tax system currently being followed by the Centre and States. GST is a multi-stage consumption tax imposed on a broad range of goods and services. It is a tax on transactions and end-customers who consume the goods or services bear the final cost of the tax. The underlying principle is that the GST will have a simple structure and goods as well as services will be taxed at a uniform rate. It is aimed to be a simple, nation-wide, transparent and efficient system of indirect taxation. It is expected to replace the present CENVAT, service tax, state VAT and other taxes. Moreover, Central Sales Tax also would have to be phased out. However, it remains to be seen whether the core principles of GST will be implemented in letter and spirit at the time of its final introduction by the Centre and the States.

What is the need for introduction of GST?

• The introduction of GST is part of a long-awaited indirect tax reform in the country. Our current structure of indirect taxes is driven by a multiplicity of taxes- some levied by the Centre and others by the States.
• Each of these taxes applies to a narrow base both in terms of the economic activity it covers, e.g, manufacture, sale, entry, entertainment etc, and the range of goods and services it applies to
• The output tax is allowed to be adjusted against tax already paid on inputs only in a few cases
• Then, there are a variety of exemptions meant to serve multiple socio-economic objectives. As a consequence, high rates of tax are required to be imposed to generate a given amount of revenue.

How does the GST work at the ground level?

Stage of supply chain	Purchase value of input	Value addition	Value at which supply of goods and services made to next stage	Rate of GST	GST on output	Input tax credit	Net GST = GST on output – input tax credit
	Rs	Rs	Rs	%	Rs	Rs	Rs
Manufacturer	200	80	280	10	28	20	8 (28 – 20)
Wholesaler	280	60	340	10	34	28	6 (34 – 28)
Retailer	340	30	370	10	37	34	3 (37 – 34)

As shown in the above example, let us assume a manufacturer buys raw materials at a cost of Rs 200. While buying she pays a GST of Rs 20 at the assumed rate of 10 per cent. During the manufacturing process, she adds value to the tune of Rs 80 and converts the raw material into a finished good and sells it for Rs 280 and pays a GST of Rs 28 on the finished product at the rate of 10 per cent. Effectively, here her net GST would be only Rs 8 (28 – 20) as she avails Rs 20 as input tax credit (which she is entitled while buying raw materials). Likewise in the entire chain till retailer the same principle applies down the line. The wholesaler buys the finished product for Rs 280 and adds value Rs 60 and sells it for Rs 340 to the retailer and pays GST of Rs 34 on the product; however, the wholesaler’s net GST would only be Rs 6 (34 – 28) after deducting the input tax credit. In the case of retailer, he buys it for Rs 340 and adds a value of Rs 30 and sells it for Rs 370 and in the process his effective GST would be only Rs 3 (37 – 34). To put it simply, the tax payer is only paying tax on the value addition and not on the entire value of finished product; except the end-consumer.

What are the merits of GST?

ü Only the incremental value added at each stage of value addition gets taxed

ü The producer gets input tax credit except at the hands of the final consumer

ü It avoids tax on tax and tax incidence is reduced for all players involved

ü It reduces transaction costs for tax payers benefiting the traders and industry

ü More players will come under tax net as it gets widened with GST ensuring better compliance

ü Due to the input tax credits, the prices for end-consumers may come down as traders and service providers may pass on the benefit of lower taxes to end-users

ü GST may cleanse the present tax system of red tape, delays, corruption and leakages

ü The effective rollout of GST is expect to usher in a single and common market across the country

What are the pre-requisites for successful implementation of GST?

The following are the prerequisites for an effective rollout of GST:

o          It needs to have minimum number of GST rates and minimum exemptions so as to achieve widest possible tax base

o          The rates of CGST and SGST  are needed to be moderate

o          The rates of tax of SGST and exemptions from SGST are uniform throughout the country

o          The input credit chain is seamless covering the entire value chain from manufacturing to retail without breaks regardless of whether goods or services are supplied within a State or across State boundaries

o          The tax treatment of goods and services is similar

o          The Central and State levies are fully neutralized in the case of exports (out of India)

o          The procedures are simple and harmonized between the Centre and the States

o          Removal of distorting state taxes such as entry tax, octroi, high stamp duties etc by subsuming them in the GST

o          Amongst the administrative actions that are critical for the success of GST is the creation of a strong Information Technology Infrastructure both for the Centre and the States.

Where are the GST rates likely to be?

Kelkar Task Force in 2004 had suggested a maximum rate of 20% for GST. Currently, the central government levies excise duty at various rates like 16, 12 and 8 per cent.  It also levies 10.30 per cent service tax on more than 100 services. States do not levy or collect service taxes, but get a share from the Centre’s collections.

EMPOWERED COMMITTEE OF STATE FINANCE MINISTERS ON GST:

The meeting of the Empowered Committee was held in New Delhi on September 16, 2009. Important decisions taken at the meeting are:

ü         A broad consensus has been reached among the States to have two rate slabs – standard rate and lower rate

ü         At the States: Standard GST rate is likely to be in the region of 8% to 9% and for essential commodities the lower rate may be pegged at 4% or 5%

ü         A Joint Working Group (JWG) will be set up to thrash out a legal framework or GST Act and other constitutional amendments to switch over to the dual GST regime #

#  The formation of a JWG is necessary because neither the Centre nor the States can levy tax on items which fall outside their respective lists as per the Seventh Schedule of the Constitution. As such, the rollout of GST requires constitutional amendments to enable the Centre and States to tax beyond the manufacturing stage. The JWG will prepare a model GST Act for the Centre and the States.

What will be effective date of GST rollout?

Government of India originally proposed to introduce the new tax system from April 1, 2010. The Finance Minister had expressed his commitment to this date while presenting the Union Budget 2009-10 to Parliament on July 6, 2009. But, some state governments have raised some issues pertaining to compensation for the revenues the states may have to forego as a result of the rollout of GST. However, some experts are suggesting the implementation date may get postponed till October 1, 2009, due to a variety of reasons. Even the Union Finance Minister, some days back, hinted at the possibility of a postponement by a few months.

Sources: Newspapers, MOF, Report of Kelkar Task Force, First Discussion Paper on GST dt 10.11.2009 by the Empowered Committee of State Finance Ministers,, etc.