Thursday, 23 September 2010

Monetary Policy-Reserve Bank of India-September 2010 Mid-Quarter Review

MONETARY POLICY-
RESERVE BANK OF INDIA
MID-TERM REVIEW OF
SEPTEMBER 2010




Rama Krishna Vadlamudi, HYDERABAD September 22, 2010

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India’s national income (GDP) has expanded by 8.8 per cent during the first quarter of 2010-11. The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) has gone up by 13.8 per cent in July 2010 compared to the same month last year. Services sector in India is booming. With bountiful monsoon, Agricultural Production is expected to post buoyant growth. Food inflation is more than 15 per cent. 
 
Inflation based on Wholesale Price Index (WPI) remains almost at more than 10 per cent since February 2010; though it has come down to 8.5 per cent in August 2010 (base year: 2004-05). India’s imports have risen substantially in the last few quarters, while export growth continues to be mild. Global recovery seems to have faltered in the last few months.


Against this backdrop, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its mid-quarter review of Monetary Policy announced on September 16, 2010, has raised policy rates to contain inflation. This Mid-term Review of Monetary Policy by RBI is the first of its kind, whose introduction was announced by RBI in the July 2010 Quarterly Review.
 

Monetary Measures:

The following are the monetary measures undertaken by RBI on September 16, 2010:

1) LAF-Repo Rate is increased by 25 basis points to 6.00 % wef Sept. 17, 2010

2) LAF-Reverse Repo Rate is hiked by 50 basis points to 5.00 % wef Sept. 17, 2010

3) The Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) is kept unchanged at 6.00 %

4) Bank Rate has been retained at 6.00 %

5) Saving Bank rate has been kept unchanged at 3.50 %


LAF corridor further shortened:

LAF Corridor is the excess of LAF-Repo Rate over the LAF-Reverse Repo Rate. Between July 2008 and now, the corridor was brought down aggressively from a high level of 300 points to 100 points. Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF) is a mechanism by which RBI adjusts daily liquidity in the domestic money markets by injecting funds (at repo rate) or by withdrawing them out (at reverse repo rate).


LAF corridor is important from the viewpoint of short-term interest rates. Short-term interest rates, usually represented by call money rates, are supposed to move in a range between repo rate and reverse repo rate. RBI would use this corridor to contain any volatility in short-term interest rates.

Impact on Markets:

RBI has been consistently raising policy rates and reserve ratios since February 2010. The following table illustrates this:

POLICY RATE/RATIO      HIKED FROM           HIKED TO             HIKE in basis points *

Cash Reserve Ratio            5.00% in Feb.2010       6% in Sept.2010               100

Repo Rate-LAF                 4.75% in Mar.2010       6% in Sept.2010               125

Reverse Repo rate-LAF     3.25% in Mar.2010       5% in Sept.2010               175

* one per cent is equal to 100 basis points (bp)

Stock market has been ignoring these consistent policy rate hikes. Till now, the markets have been blaming the RBI for “being behind the curve”, meaning that RBI is not raising policy rates in line with the spiraling inflation. By ignoring the increase in policy rates till now, the Market itself seems to be “behind the curve!” 
 
While RBI increased CRR by 100 bp and repo rate by 125 bp in the last seven months signifying hardening of interest rates; the benchmark Sensex has gone up from 16,000 plus level in February 2010 to 20,000 plus now, showing a growth of almost 25 per cent. This is quite a surprising thing considering the fact that consistent increase in interest rates is interpreted as a growth dampener for corporate profits. 
 
In future, one can expect the market to price in the policy rate hikes and the stock indices may show some weakness. However, it is difficult to tell at what point of time the stock markets will fully reflect the ground realities; as long as the inflows come in through the Foreign Institutional Investors (FII), who have been pouring money into India’s stock markets. As per SEBI data, FII inflows into the stock market are around USD 17 billion or Rs 79,000 crore during the 2010 calendar year.


However, bond market has been pricing in, to some extent, the steps being taken by RBI to contain inflationary pressures in the economy. While the Government borrowing has increased substantially this year, the windfall revenues for the Government from telecom auctions in 3G and broadband wireless access have boosted the confidence of the bond market. But for these windfall revenues, the government bond prices would have fallen much more.


Bank deposit rates will further go up. As of now, bank depositors are earning negative interest rates. In the past few months, depositors are getting 7 to 8 per cent per annum for three-year deposits; whereas inflation is more than 10 per cent. This means, inflation at more than 10 per cent is eating away whatever pittance they earn from interest on their deposits.
 
Interest rates on home loans will be increased gradually. Corporate loan rates too will be hiked as banks start raising their lending rates depending on the liquidity situation. Rates of commercial deposits and commercial paper have already gone up substantially.
 

Is RBI done with rate hikes?

In its mid-quarter review, the RBI has indicated that inflation rates have reached a plateau, but cautioned that they would remain at higher levels for some more time. RBI expects inflation to moderate after some time. Some experts believe that RBI’s rate hikes have almost come to an end considering the fact that global growth remains muted as of now with US unemployment rate stagnating at 9.6 per cent for several quarters.

However, some disagree with RBI’s optimistic view on anticipated inflation moderation. With GDP growing at 8.8 per cent in first quarter and IIP surging to 13.8 per cent in July, it is difficult to give credence to official figures and pronouncements on inflation. With robust inflows in the form of portfolio money (FII inflows into stock market), inflation will remain at elevated levels for considerable period of time. All indications are that the odds are against the optimistic views being expressed by the Government functionaries and RBI.

RBI says, “Inflation remains the dominant concern in macroeconomic management.” Food inflation is still a worrying factor in containing overall inflation for the RBI and the Government. To sum up, one can expect more rate hikes from RBI in the coming quarters.
 

Data Integrity

Central Banks, in general, are known for their vagueness in policy pronouncements. However, RBI was rather candid and expressed its doubts about the authenticity of index of industrial production (IIP) figures put out by the Government authorities. The IIP showed a tepid growth of 5.8 per cent in the month of June 2010; however, it surged to 13.8 per cent in July 2010. These wild swings in monthly industrial production numbers impart an element of confusion in the minds of policymakers and market players; thus making the monetary policy formulation difficult for RBI.

RBI’s observation comes at a time when doubts have been expressed about the integrity of India’s GDP data published by the Central Statistical Organization (CSO), a Government body. It may be noted that the Government revised its first quarter GDP numbers for 2010-11 within 24 hours. GDP growth rate as measured by expenditure at market prices was, at first, put at 3.7%; but, within 24 hours, it was revised upwards to 10%! It is no wonder that India’s Prime Minister Manmohan Singh once remarked that, “India’s data are not reliable!”
 
- - -

 
 
Notes:

FII-Foreign Institutional Investor

IIP-Index of Industrial Production

LAF-Liquidity Adjustment Facility of the RBI

RBI-Reserve Bank of India

SEBI-Securities and Exchange Board of India



Disclaimer: Views of the author are personal.

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Monday, 30 August 2010

Monetary Policy-RBI-July 2010 Review-What is New?-VRK100-30082010

MONETARY POLICY - RBI -

JULY 2010 REVIEW

Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had announced its first quarter review of Monetary Policy 2010-11 on July 27, 2010. Of late, especially after Mr D. Subbarao took over as Governor in September 2008, RBI has taken some kind of fresh approach towards issues relating to Monetary Policy and Indian Economy – right from taking a lot of bold measures between September 2008 and January 2009 to save the Indian Economy from the aftershocks of sub-prime crisis in the US to the latest first quarter review. Let us examine what are the important aspects of this new and fresh perspective in the latest monetary policy review.

What’s new?

There are four new areas which RBI has focused on in the latest policy review. They are:

1. Change in policy Stance;

2. Reduction in LAF corridor;

3. Introduction of mid-quarter review in addition to quarterly reviews; and

4. Expected Outcomes.


1. Change in Policy Stance:

RBI is deeply concerned about rising prices and double-digit inflation in India and renewed uncertainty in global economic recovery owing to Greek Sovereign debt crisis and high employment in the US. India’s inflation measured by Wholesale Price Index (WPI) has been more than 10 per cent since February 2010. However, RBI is optimistic about the India’s GDP growth in 2010-11 reinforced by the good progress of the South-West Monsoon, expansion in India’s exports and imports, and double digit growth in the  industrial production. Taking these into consideration, RBI has increased its projection for India’s GDP growth in 2010-11 to 8.5 per cent from 8 per cent projected in its April 2010 Annual Policy review.


Against this backdrop, the RBI has changed its policy stance decisively to containing inflation and anchoring inflationary expectations.

2. Introduction of mid-quarter reviews:

Till Now, RBI was undertaking Monetary Policy reviews at quarterly intervals in April, July, October and January every year. From now onwards, it will carry out mid-quarter reviews in June, September, December and March; in addition to quarterly reviews. Mid-quarter reviews will be conducted roughly one and a half-month after each quarterly  review. The rationale behind the introduction of mid-quarter reviews is to inform RBI’s assessment of economic conditions more frequently to the market participants in line with major central banks, like, the US Fed and the ECB.



3. LAF corridor shortened:

(For graph, see http://groups.google.co.in/group/random-thoughts-on-investments/files?hl=en&&sort=date)

LAF Corridor is the excess of LAF-Repo Rate over the LAF-Reverse Repo Rate. Before the first quarter review, the LAF corridor was at 150 basis points. On July 27, 2010, RBI raised repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.75 per cent and reverse repo rate by 50 basis points to 4.50 per cent; thus effectively reducing the LAF corridor from 150 basis points to 125 basis points (repo rate minus reverse repo rate = 575 - 450). Repo Rate is the rate at which RBI charges commercial banks for their overnight borrowings from RBI by exchanging Government Securities. Reverse Repo Rate is the rate at which RBI pays commercial banks for keeping their overnight surplus money with RBI while exchanging Government Securities, under RBI’s Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF). LAF is a mechanism by which RBI adjusts daily liquidity in the domestic money markets by injecting funds (at repo rate) or by withdrawing them out (at reverse repo rate). This operation is conducted with the help of exchanging Government Securities.

As can be seen from the above graph, the corridor was at an elevated level of 250 basis points (bp), which was brought down gradually to 100 bp in April 2005. From there, it was gradually widened to as high as 300 bp. Later, during the peak of US sub-prime crisis, this was narrowed down sharply to 150 bp in just three months. Finally, in the first quarter review of July 2010, this was further shortened to 125 bp.

What is the significance of this LAF corridor? LAF corridor is important from the viewpoint of short-term interest rates. Short-term interest rates, usually represented by call money rates and CBLO* rates, are supposed to move in a range between repo rate and reverse repo rate. Central Banks in general are not comfortable with volatility in markets. As such, RBI would use this corridor to contain volatility in short-term interest rates. By narrowing down the difference between repo rate and reverse repo rate, RBI has expressed its strong desire to contain any wild movements in the call money rates.

(* CBLO-Collateralized Borrowing and Lending Obligation of the Clearing Corporation of India Limited. It is a money market instrument through which CCIL imparts liquidity to market participants.)


4. Exepcted Outcomes ^:

RBI has expressed that its policy actions are expected to:

     Moderate inflation by curbing demand pressures

     Maintain conditions conducive to growth

     Generate liquidity conditions

    Result in reduction of sharp movements in short-term rates

(^ In fact, this section was introduced some quarters back)

Monetary Measures:

The following are the monetary measures undertaken by RBI on July 27, 2010:

1) LAF-Repo Rate is increased by 25 bp to 5.75 per cent wef July 27, 2010

2) LAF-Reverse Repo Rate is hiked by 50 bp to 4.50 per cent wef July 27, 2010

3) The Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) is kept unchanged at 6.00 per cent

4) Bank Rate has been retained at 6.00 per cent

5) Saving Bank rate has been kept unchanged at 3.50 per cent

Other Measures:

RBI expects that the liquidity position will remain tight even though it may ease a bit going forward. LAF-Repo Rate has become RBI’s main instrument of monetary policy. RBI feels there is a need to take a relook at its LAF policy as it has got implications for monetary policy transmission. At present, the guiding principles of LAF corridor (width of the policy interest rate corridor as explained in page 2) are: (i). it should be broad enough not to unduly incentivize banks to place their surplus funds with RBI; and (ii). it should not be so broad that it leads to greater volatility in short-term interest rates.

Keeping this in mind, RBI has proposed to set up a Working Group to review the current operating procedure of monetary policy of the RBI, including the LAF.



Disclaimer: Views of the author are personal.

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Monday, 28 June 2010

Is it the end of the Road for Wall Street Banks?-VRK100-28062010

+++


Is it the end of the Road for Wall Street Banks?


Rama Krishna Vadlamudi, BOMBAY       June 28, 2010



The US Government’s efforts to cage Wall Street Banks has finally taken some concrete shape after intense negotiations among US lawmakers. The US Congress has decided to overhaul the US financial system by imposing various restrictions on Banks in the areas of proprietary trading, bank capital and Swaps. The Wall Street reform has been hailed as one of the most sweeping financial reforms since the reforms undertaken in the wake of Great Depression of the 1930s in the US. The US Democrats, led by President Barack Obama, have been trying to do something to rein in negligent banks which have been blamed for the global financial meltdown of 2008.



The latest financial regulation reform bill is seen as an attempt by the US Government to control Wall Street financial firms, which have acted irresponsibly by playing with public money. The US banks have also been criticized for paying rich bonuses to their employees at the cost of taxpayers. The bill seeks to establish consumer financial protection. It tries to control financial firms from taking unwarranted risks that will threaten the economy. It wants to protect taxpayers’ money. After a long session of negotiations on June 24-25, 2010, the US legislators agreed for tougher restrictions on banks. This bill was approved by the US Senate. The reform bill will become law once it is approved by the House of Representatives and then signed into law by President Obama.



This article is organized into the following topics:

 The important provisions of the US financial regulation reform bill

 What will be the impact of these reforms?

 What is the criticism of the bill?

 What the other Governments across the Atlantic are doing?



What are the key provisions of the US Financial Regulation Reform bill?

 VOLCKER RULE: Named after the former chairman of the US Federal Reserve, Paul Volcker, the Rule tries to bar proprietary trading by banks for their own accounts; restrict banks’ investment in hedge funds and private equity funds; and limiting the liabilities that banks can hold. But, this Volcker Rule has been diluted. Now, the reform bill allows proprietary trading in certain areas, like, government debt, hedging purposes and small business investments. The new provision allows deposit-taking Wall Street banks to invest up to three per cent of their capital in hedge funds or private equity funds. Some analysts say these provisions may not be fully applicable for some banks for another seven years.

 The bill will set up a new Consumer Protection Agency, under the supervision of US Federal Reserve. The new agency will curb abusive practices by credit card companies and mortgage lenders. It may be recalled that reckless sub-prime lending in the US prior to 2008 had led to the near-collapse of banking system across the world in 2008. The new agency will be funded by fees that will be collected from banks.

 A new 10-member oversight council of financial regulators, headed by the Treasury Secretary, will be created to coordinate activities connected with regulatory oversight of financial markets & to monitory systemic risks

 Regulatory bodies will be given more powers to seize and conduct an orderly liquidation of large banks, like, Citibank. Large banks will be required to raise their capital. But, they will be given a time of five years to comply with this requirement.

 Most of the derivatives trading from now onwards will have to be done through third-party exchanges.

 Swaps: The size of the over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives market is USD 615 trillion. The bill allows banks to do trading in foreign exchange and interest rate swaps, which account for bulk of the OTC market. However, the bill requires banks to spin off dealing desks into affiliates for handling agricultural, energy and metal swaps, equity swaps and un-cleared credit default swaps. In future, most of the OTC derivatives trading will be done through more accountable and regulated channels such as clearing houses and exchanges.

 The reforms are expected to cost USD 19 billion. A new tax will be imposed on banks to recover the cost of implementing the reforms.

 Credit rating agencies will be subject to more scrutiny. They must disclose their methodologies.



What will be the impact of these reforms?



o Banks will make lesser profits due to curbs on proprietary trading, which allowed bank traders to take riskier bets with depositors’ money on bank’s accounts

o The decision to move most of the OTC derivatives trading to exchanges will improve transparency in swaps trading. This will allow authorities to regulate swaps in a better manner.

o The curbs on trading in credit default swaps will hit banks profits adversely

o Smaller banks will have a breather from the new rules. Banks, with less than USD 15 billion in assets, will be exempted from the rules.

o It remains to be seen whether the bill will be able to prevent the kind of bank excesses we have seen in the past and which led to the global financial meltdown of 2008



What is the criticism of the reform bill?



It is a watered down version of what was originally proposed. As democrats lack full majority in the US Congress, they have allowed some amendments in order to satisfy the viewpoints of republicans in the Congress. Of course, some democrats also opposed certain provisions.

Now, the reform bill allows proprietary trading in select areas, like, government debt, hedging purposes and small business investments. The new provision allows deposit-taking Wall Street banks to invest up to three per cent of their capital in hedge funds or private equity funds. Three per cent of capital for big banks, like, Goldman Sachs, is very big amount, some argue.

The regulation is too late as it comes after 20 months since the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008.


Will the reform bill be able to cage unruly banks?


Even though some portion of swaps business will be taken out of banks into affiliates, banks will still be able to do in-house trading in foreign exchange and interest rate swaps, which form a major chunk of swaps market. Banks have to increase their capital; but they are given a time of five years to fulfill this rule. They will be able to invest in hedge funds and private equity; though with quantitative limits. The so-called Volcker Rule has been diluted. All these dilutions and compromises indicate that it may be business as usual for banks on Wall Street despite tall talk of sweeping reforms. Of course, a good beginning has been made to control unmanageable banks on the Wall Street.


What are the other Governments doing across the Atlantic?


As the global financial crisis has impacted almost all the major financial centres across the world, other Governments too have been raising their voices about bank regulation in their own countries and regions. Europe wants to levy a new tax on banks to create crisis funds. The European Union is proposing to impose restrictions on activities of hedge funds and private equity funds. These proposals are yet to attain a concrete shape as they have to be approved by the EU, which is an amalgam of 27 member countries.

However, the United Kingdom (the UK is not a part of the Euro Zone), under the new coalition Government, is making sweeping changes to its financial regulation. The changes are:

 The Financial Services Authority (FSA) will be scrapped and the Bank of England (BoE) will be entrusted with the task of financial regulation. At present, the FSA is the single regulator for banks, mutual funds and insurance companies.

 The UK Government will create a new Financial Policy Committee within the BoE. The Committee will be headed by Mervyn King, the governor of the Bank of England.

 Two new regulators will be created. The first is Prudential Regulation Authority, under BoE, which will regulate banks, insurers, investment banks and other financial institutions. The second is a Consumer Protection and Markets Authority.

 Under the new dispensation, the BoE will be given more powers. Till now, the BoE is entrusted with the task of conducting monetary policy and fixing interest rates for the economy; while banking regulation is taken care of by FSA. But under the new laws, the FSA will be dismantled and the Bank of England will have to take up additional duties in the form of regulating banks and other financial institutions. Monetary stability and financial stability will now be the responsibility of the BoE.

 The UK government will levy a new tax on banks and impose curbs on bank bonuses

 The new system will be completed by 2012


Once these changes have come into effect, experts say that it will be possible to break up the UK’s biggest banks. However, some banks are opposing such moves by regulators.

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Monday, 21 June 2010

Revised Direct Taxes Code 2010-A Critique on RDP-VRK100-21Jun2010






On a cool Sunday evening, a Child walks on a beach with gay abandon. She starts to build a castle in the sand. She collects sand and arranges it into a big heap. She tries to mould it as per her imagination. After sometime, she completes the sand castle and she goes around the castle merrily – laughing, cheering and shouting.

This attracts some other people loitering on the beach. They come and start inspecting the castle. Some applaud it and some suggest little changes to the castle to make it more beautiful. First the child is confused about making the changes. At last, she obliges the onlookers’ advice and makes alterations with some tinkering to the minarets here and to the windows there.

Now, more onlookers start giving advice on making it look more wonderful. The child listens patiently to them and makes more alterations with her tender hands. Then a disaster strikes. The castle suddenly collapses due to too many alterations. Disappointed by it, the child walks home with a heavy heart.

Some of you may be wondering what this is all about! The above story sums up the predicament of the Government of India in bringing about several amendments to the Direct Taxes Code (DTC). It may be recalled that the Government had brought out a Revised Discussion Paper (RDP) on 15th of June 2010 making certain changes to the draft DTC Bill which was released in August 2009. The Government has apparently messed up the whole issue of bringing a transparent DTC, which could have been understandable easily by ordinary persons; providing stability, equality and clarity; and without any distortions. This article provides a critical analysis of important issues in the DTC proposals.



The impact is explained with catchy photographs!

The article is organized on the following lines:


A critical analysis of the Capital Gains tax on shares
Why flip-flops are not good for the overall tax efficiency
Background to abolition of long-term capital gains in 2003/2004
Is 25 per cent Public Shareholding a joke?
Why it is a mixed bag for individuals and salaried class
A big climb down and dilution of reforms by the Government


The following important annexures are given at the end of this article: (A must-read for all investors, taxpayeers and market players)


Annexure I   : Difference between EEE and EET methods
Annexure II  : The Six Pack!
Annexure III : Types of tax exemptions that may be continued after DTC
Annexure IV : Types of tax exemptions that may be withdrawn after DTC


Abbreviations Used:

DDT-Dividend Distribution Tax
PFRDA-Pension Fund Regulatory and
DTC 2009-Direct Taxes Code  August 2009
              Development Authority
EEE-Exempt, Exempt & Exempt
 
 LTCG-Long-term capital gains      
EET-Exempt, Exempt & Tax
PPF-Public Provident Fund
ELSS-Equity Linked Savings Scheme
RDP-Revised Discussion Paper of DTC
           of the mutual funds
         released by Govt on 15.6.2010
EPF-Employee Provident Fund
STCG-Short-term Capital Gains
GPF-Government Provident Fund
SCSS-Senior Citizen Savings Scheme
IT Act-Income Tax Act, 1961
STT-Securities Transaction Tax
LTC-Leave Travel Concession
MAT-Minimum Alternative Tax
NPS-New Pension System administered
ULIP-Unit Linked Insurance Plan of
        by PFRDA
         insurance companies
NSC-National Savings Certificate

PF-Provident Fund
VPF-Voluntary Provident Fund





Concept of DTC:

When it was conceived in August 2009, the proposed DTC is supposed to be a single code for all direct taxes, like, Income Tax, Corporation Tax, MAT, DDT, wealth tax, etc. Written in simple language and direct voice, the DTC is expected to be more transparent compared to the existing direct tax laws. It seeks to encourage simplification and aims for stable taxes and better tax compliance.

Some of the provisions, like the Minimum Alternative Tax (MAT) on gross assets, introduction of EET regime and removing several tax exemptions have not been received with enthusiasm by the affected people. After receiving several representations from various stakeholders, the Government on 15th of June 2010 released a Revised Discussion Paper (RDP). This RDP has restored some tax exemptions for certain schemes bringing relief to several people. It has decided to continue with the existing system of taxing MAT on the basis of book profits.

Messy Capital Gains Tax!

However, in one area the Government has messed up a lot. That is capital gains. The RDP proposes to change the very definition of short-term capital gain (STCG) and long-term capital gain (LTCG). Long-term capital gain on listed equity shares and equity mutual funds are taxed at zero rate as of now. Now, the RDP proposes to introduce a system of including LTCG in one’s income and taxing LTCG at the tax rate applicable to the taxpayer, after adjusting the LTCG with a specified discount rate. The Government has said that the specified discount rate would be announced while introducing the DTC Bill in Parliament. This kind of flip-flop of LTCG relating to shares and mutual funds is detrimental to the long-term investments. Strangely, the Government seems to be encouraging
short-term gambling in equities rather than long-term investments.

Is 25 per cent Public Shareholding a joke?

The Government has recently come out with norms for making 25 per cent public shareholding compulsory in companies listed on stock exchanges. One fails to understand how the Government can increase the public shareholding to 25 per cent without encouraging long-term investments in shares and mutual funds.

When tax rates are changed frequently without any predictability, it changes the behaviour of investors and market players in a big way. Let us go back a little and see the amendments to LTCG relating to listed equity shares and equity mutual funds.

Taxes on STCG and LTCG before 2003:

Prior to 2003, STCG on shares was taxed at 30 per cent; and LTCG was taxed at 20 per cent with indexation benefits. There was no STT at that time.

UNION BUDGET 2003-04:

As per the Union Budget for 2003-04, long term capital gains (LTCG) on company equity shares (listed on any recognized stock exchange in India) was exempted from tax for shares acquired on or after March 1, 2003 but before March 1, 2004. This was made applicable from April 1, 2004 and was applicable for assessment year 2004-05 and for subsequent years. The intention of the then Government behind the tax exemption for LTCG on listed equity shares for a limited period was to “give incentive for investment in equity shares.”

The then finance minister, Yashwant Sinha, told the Parliament, during his budget speech in his own words:

“We need to improve the industrial sector and improve the equity markets”

“I am also committed to bringing the small investors back to the capital markets by restoring their confidence”

“In order to give a further fillip to the capital markets, it is proposed to exempt all long-term capital gains from tax for equity shares bought for a period of one year from March 1, 2003, and sold after a one year…”


UNION BUDGET 2004-05:

Now, you see P.Chidambaram’s, the then finance minister, spin on the rationale behind the abolition of LTCG while presenting the Budget 2004-05 to Parliament:

Capital gains tax is another vexed issue… I’ve decided to make a beginning by revamping taxes on securities transactions…Our founding fathers wisely included entry 90 in the Union List in the seventh Schedule of the Constitution of India.

“Taking a cue from that entry, I propose to abolish the tax on long-term capital gains from securities transactions altogether. Instead, I propose to levy a small tax on transactions in securities on stock exchanges. The rate will be 0.15 per cent of the value of security. My calculation shows that the new tax regime will be a win-win situation for all concerned.”

This was done with a view to simplifying the tax structure on securities transactions, as per the Explanatory Memorandum to the Union Budget 2004-05. Accordingly, tax on LTCG was removed and tax on STCG was reduced to 10 per cent. And in the place of ‘nil tax’ on LTCG on securities transactions, a new tax called Securities Transaction Tax (STT) was introduced by P.Chidambaram.

Unfortunately, STT stays!:

When the tax on long-term capital gain was abolished by the then Finance Minister while presenting the Union Budget 2004-05, the FM introduced STT to fill the tax revenue gap caused by the abolition of LTCG. Unfortunately, the RDP says that STT will be revised suitably. Now, equity investors will have to pay both the STT and LTCG once DTC comes into force, which was not the case prior to the introduction of STT in 2004.

Current provisions:

As of now, STCG on shares is taxed at 15 per cent while LTCG is completely exempt from tax. And the RDP proposes to include STCG in one’s income and pay tax as per rate applicable to taxpayer; and LTCG will be given a specified discount rate and taxes as per taxpayer’s marginal tax rate. This is completely in contrast to what the previous finance ministers, Yashwant Sinha and P.Chidambaram had committed in Parliament while removing LTCG on shares.

Does it mean to say that as of now public participation in capital markets has improved compared to 2003/2004? Everyone in India knows that share of equities in India’s total savings is at a bare minimum of between 2 to 5 per cent.

To know more on the latest amendments given in RDP, just click:


(In fact, the RDP does not use the words, short-term capital gain or long-term capital gain. For the sake of simplicity and better understanding, the words STCG and LTCG are used as they have been in existence for more than five decades.)

Sweet and Sour!

The Revised Discussion Paper is a kind of mixed bag for individuals and salaried class. The Government has now decided to provide tax exemption at the time of withdrawal (EEE method), even though for six types of investments only.

To know about the difference between EEE method, EET method and such eligible investments, see Annexures I to IV given at the end of this article.



Everything has a price. Take for example, the Indian public are very happy with the subsidy on petrol, diesel, LPG & kerosene. But, ultimately, the entire economy is paying the price for the subsidy as the subsidies are paid through the Union Budget! The cost of everything has to be paid by someone, i.e., the public.

In the original DTC, the Government had proposed to remove exemptions; while simultaneously reducing tax rates and increasing tax slabs. But due to public outcry, Government has now said it would restore certain tax exemptions. As the tax base comes down, the Government will not be in a position to reduce tax rates and increase tax slabs as proposed in the original DTC in August 2009. The net effect will be the same for public! (It may be recalled that it was proposed, in the draft DTC of August 2009, to increase the present exemption of Rs one lakh under Section 80C of the Income Tax Act to Rs three lakh and increase the tax slabs – up to Rs 10 lakh at 10 per cent; above Rs 10 lakh to Rs 25 lakh at 20 per cent; and above Rs 25 lakh at 30 per cent.)   

To know about the proposals of original draft DTC released in August 2009, just click: http://ramakrishnavadlamudi.blogspot.in/2009/12/direct-taxes-code-dtc-bill-2009-its.html



At this stage, it would be instructive to know the original objectives of the Government while drafting a Direct Taxes Code Bill in August 2009. They were:

1.    Providing stability: At present, the rates of taxes are stipulated in the Finance Act of the relevant year. Therefore, there is a certain degree of uncertainty and instability in the prevailing rates of taxes. Under the Code, all rates of taxes are proposed to be prescribed in the Direct Taxes Code itself thereby eliminating the need for an annual Finance Bill. The changes in the rates, if any, will be done through appropriate amendments to DTC brought before Parliament in the form of an Amendment Bill.
2.    All the direct taxes – income tax, corporation tax, dividend distribution tax, minimum alternative tax & wealth tax – were brought under a single code
3.    A very simple language was used in drafting the code so that an ordinary person also can understand the provisions of the law
4.    By reducing vagueness in the provisions, the Government aimed at reducing the scope for litigation between taxpayer and tax administration

It is very sad to read the contents of Revised Discussion Paper (RDP) released a week back. The Government has failed to provide clarity on many issues, like:

Ø     What will be tax rates and tax slabs
Ø     What is the specified discount rate for adjustment to LTCG on shares
Ø     No clarity what type of savings instruments would attract EET method
Ø     There is no reference as to whether principal paid toward instalments of loans taken for constructing a house property would be allowed tax deduction (The RDP has clarified that interest up to Rs 1.50 lakh would continue to be eligible for tax exemption).
Ø     The RDP has failed to indicate what the rate of MAT would be

The refrain now is that the legislature is the ultimate authority for deciding tax rates! It may be recalled that the original DTC 2009 had provided rates & slabs.

How to tweak your investments?

It appears that the RDP encourages tax evasion and avoidance and it does not bring any equity to the tax system. It fails to provide transparency and remove distortions in the present direct taxes regime.

There are various methods to protect our interests, in a legal manner, in relation to tax exemptions and liabilities. We need to show a little ingenuity and look for ways to protect our interests under the existing laws.

Let us hope that the Government would provide a reasonable transition period for investors and more clarity would exist when the real DTC Bill is presented in Parliament in the next few months.

Look at them with fresh pair of eyes!

Any direct taxes regime that is transparent, clear and simple to understand is very good for the economy as a whole. As taxpayers, we need to encourage any sincere attempts by the Government to clean up the existing messy laws. We shall be able to see the broader picture which will benefit the entire economy rather than a few individuals or smaller groups. Tax laws have to be amended keeping the ever changing economic and social environment in mind.

We need to look at the new Code with fresh eyes without any old baggage. Theoretically, the concept of EET, removal of all kinds of tax incentives/concessions, and clubbing all sums under taxable income, are sound and beneficial in the long-term. However, India is beset with its own set of peculiarities, lack of social security system, contradictions and problems as far as increasing tax base and administering taxes is concerned. We need to change our mindset – not only taxpayers, but also those in the tax administration and implementation.


To read other important document on Direct Taxes Code, just click:


This explains why the Government seems to be encouraging PURE GAMBLING rather than providing incentives for long-term investments in equities.


To sum up:

The entire DTC exercise now looks very blurred!



Annexure I

WHAT IS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN EEE and EET METHOD?

The present system is called ‘EEE’ meaning investments enjoy benefits in three stages: 1). Exemption allowed at the time initial contribution, 2). Exemption through out the accumulation period, and 3). Exemption at the time of withdrawal. (EEE stands for Exempt, Exempt and Exempt).

It was proposed in the DTC 2009 that the EET method will apply for new contributions made after the commencement of the DTC. The DTC 2009 had proposed to shift to a new system called ‘EET’ whereby exemption would be allowed at the time of initial investment and accumulation period only; but the withdrawals will be included in the taxable income and taxed according to one’s tax slabs. (EET stands for Exempt, Exempt and Tax).

Annexure II

The Six Pack!

As the Revised Discussion Paper released on 15th of June 2010, The Government will continue to provide EEE method of tax treatment to the following savings instruments:


Government Provident Fund
Recognised Provident Funds
Public Provident Fund Scheme
New Pension System (NPS) of the PFRDA #
Approved pure life insurance products *
Annuity schemes


   * There is a lot of confusion as the Government has not defined what an ‘approved pure life 
    insurance product’ is. Some experts believe that it refers to pure term insurance policies.

   # At present NPS is under EET method; after DTC it would be under EEE method

The above mentioned six instruments will continue to attract the current favourable tax treatment at all the three stages: 1. at the time of investment, 2. during the accumulation period, and 3. at the time of withdrawal. The investors can continue investments in the above six even after the DTC comes into force.

Annexure III

The following tax exemptions are likely to be continued even after DTC:

It is interpreted from the DTC Bill 2009 and RDP, that the Government in all likelihood will continue with the following exemptions and incentives:

A. DEDUCTIONS THAT WILL BE ALLOWED FOR SALARIED CLASS ON THEIR GROSS SALARY:


1. Professional tax paid
2. Transport allowance as per limits
3. Allowances incurred for official purposes
4. Compensation received under Voluntary Retirement Scheme
5. Gratuity received on retirement or upon death
6. Amount received on commutation of pension


B. DEDUCTIONS THAT MAY BE ALLOWED WHILE COMPUTING TOTAL INCOME:

As per the proposals of the draft DTC 2009 and the Revised Discussion Paper, the following deductions may be allowed for individuals/salaried class:

ü      Interest paid up to Rs 1.50 lakh per annum on housing loan for self-occupied property

ü      Tuition fee paid to a college/school in India for full-time education of two children of an individual/HUF is eligible for deduction

ü      An individual shall be allowed a deduction in respect of any amount actually paid by him in the financial year by way of interest on loan taken by him from any financial institution for the purpose of:

(a) pursuing his/her higher education; or
                  (b) higher education of his/her relatives.

ü      Health insurance premium of up to Rs 15,000 (Rs 20,000 for senior citizens) will be allowed as deduction for an individual/HUF. For health insurance on the health of his/her parents, an additional deduction of Rs 15,000 (Rs 20,000 if the parents are senior citizens) will be allowed .
ü      An individual will be allowed a deduction of up to Rs 40,000 (Rs 60,000 for senior citizens) for medical treatment of self or dependents

ü       An individual/HUF will be allowed a deduction of up to Rs 50,000 (Rs 1 lakh for severe disability) for medical treatment of a disabled dependant

ü      A person shall be allowed a deduction of up to 125% of donations made to laboratories and colleges engaged in scientific/statistical/social sciences research. A person shall be allowed a deduction of up to 100% of the donations made to PM National Relief Fund, CM Relief Fund, etc. And in other cases, 50% deduction is allowed for donations made to certain organisations.

ü      Dividends will not attract tax in the hands of the recipient if such dividend distributed by companies has suffered Dividend Distribution Tax (DDT) at the applicable rate. (The DTC 2009 has proposed to levy 15 per cent DDT.)

In the light of the overall tax exemptions, tax rates and tax slabs, the Government may change any of the above tax incentives/exemptions mentioned in part A and B above while presenting the DTC Bill 2009 in Parliament in the next few months.

As per Section 80C of IT Act, an individual or HUF is eligible to get tax exemption up to Rs one lakh per annum in certain notified savings instruments. The draft DTC Bill 2009 proposed to increase this limit to Rs three lakh per annum. However, the context has completely changed with the Government agreeing to continue with certain existing tax exemptions as per the Revised Discussion Paper. Now, one can safely assume that the Government will definitely not be in a position to provide a limit of Rs three lakh tax exemption.


Annexure IV


TAX DEDUCTIONS/INCENTIVES TO BE WITHDRAWN:

A careful reading of the provisions and the RDP and DTC 2009 indicate that the Government is most likely to withdraw the following existing tax exemptions being enjoyed by the taxpayers. One is forced to come to this conclusion because the Government has maintained a strange silence on these issues and these issues have not been mentioned either in the DTC 2009 or the RDP released on June 15, 2010. So, the important deductions that are most likely to be disallowed in future under proposed DTC could be:

o          Housing Loan instalments of up to Rs 1.00 lakh in a financial year and allowed as deduction under Section 80C of existing IT Act may not be allowed as deduction under the proposed DTC 2009

o          Contributions made to Equity Linked Savings Schemes of Mutual Funds

o          Notified Bank Time Deposits for a term of 5-years or more

o          Accrued Interest on NSCs
 
o          Contributions made under Unit Linked Insurance Policies

o          Under DTC, bonuses or sums received from life insurance policies may not be allowed for deduction in case: (1). Annual premium paid is more than five per cent of the sum assured; and (2). If the policy is surrendered before the maturity date (as per clause (a) of sub-section 3 of section 57 of DTC 2009

Note: 1. Capital Gains Savings Scheme will be scrapped..

          2. STT will continue along with LTCG on shares.

          3. Grandfathering Clause: In certain types of investments, only new contributions  
              on or after the commencement of the new Code will be subjected to EET

References:

1. Revised Discussion Paper released by Ministry of Finance, GOI
    dated June 15, 2010

2. Direct Taxes Code Bill and discussion paper released by Ministry of Finance,  
    GOI in August 2009

3. Newspapers

Photo courtesy: bing.com, bbc.com, AP and author.

Author’s Disclaimer: The author’s views are personal. The above article is written for information purpose only. Every care has been taken to provide authentic information as far as possible; however, the author is not responsible for any inadvertent discrepancies that may have crept in. Readers should consult their own certified tax consultants or experts to correctly interpret the provisions of tax laws or other matters.



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