Abysmal Rate of Return on India ’s Forex
Reserves:
As per the latest data from
Reserve Bank of India, the earnings rate
on India’s foreign currency assets and gold has come down to a meager 1.45
percent for the period starting from July 2012 to June 2013. It may be noted that lower rate of earnings
reflects generally low global interest rate scenario, that has been prevalent
across most of the developed markets since the 2007-2008 global financial
crisis.
Accretion to foreign exchange
reserves is highly expensive. When RBI buys foreign exchange (mostly US
dollars) to add to its reserves, it releases money (rupees) into the banking
system. To neutralize the impact of excess money, RBI issues government
securities and takes away that money from the banking system. This process is
called sterilization, which entails huge cost to the Government.
RBI resorted to massive accretion
of foreign exchange reserves in 2006 and 2007 to arrest steep appreciation of
rupee’s external value against the US dollar. The excess money created in the
banking system was simultaneously absorbed through normal open market
operations (OMOs) and Market Stabilisation Scheme (MSS).
RBI deploys these foreign
exchange reserves in several instruments, mainly in the US Treasury securities
and earns some return on them. Of course, there are various objectives of
holding these reserves. Earnings are just incidental to the larger objectives
of macroeconomic policies.
Indian rupee witnessed steep
depreciation against the dollar in the past few years, due to a variety of local
and global factors. RBI intervened heavily in the markets and sold foreign
exchange to shore up the rupee’s external value, resulting in erosion of
reserves. (Of course, reserves are now increasing and the latest figure is $
294.36 billion. Rupee is now gaining against the US dollar in the past few
months).
Related Articles:
Spectacular Rise of Rupee Amidst Weak Leadership
Indian Rupee Continues to Fall
Date
source: RBI website. Note: RBI’s financial year starts from July and ends with
June.
Disclaimer: The author is an investment analyst. He blogs
at:
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