Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) - My Tweets
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(Update 27Sep2021 on REITs is available)
The second REIT in India is Mindspace Business Parks REIT, which was listed on 07Aug2020.
A third REIT will be listed this week. It is Brookfield India Real Estate Trust, whose IPO was closed on 05Feb2021.
The details, as of today, are:
As can be seen from the below chart, the interest in the two listed REITs is subdued now even though initially investor interest was high in them. Embassy REIT's issue price was Rs 300 and it closed on first day of its listing (01Apr2019) at Rs 315. On 05Mar2020, it touched all-time-high of Rs 480, but as of now it slipped to Rs 355.
And Mindspace REIT is now quoting at Rs 330, a gain of 20 per cent from its issue in August 2020.
In comparison, the stock of DLF Ltd is now quoting at Rs 313 with a market cap of Rs 77,600 crore.
You can read the story of REITs in India through the following tweets:
1) As more players are likely to join the space, we may see more REITs in public markets going forward. For example, DLF Limited has expressed its interest in launching a REIT. My tweet dated 01Nov2020 (click on the tweet thread for more details):
https://t.co/36IQU9k4KY
— RamaKrishna Vadlamudi, CFA (@vrk100) November 1, 2020
Meanwhile, in an elaborate statement, DLF Ltd says "it's taking steps to start the process of getting the rental business REIT ready."
("steps", "start", "process", "getting", "ready"--so many words, meaning a minimum of 2 / 3 years--poor track record) pic.twitter.com/hbX72wIg0H
2) My tweet dated 08Oct2019 commenting on the market fancy for Embassy Office Parks REIT as compared to DLF stock (click on the tweet thread for more details). In Oct2019, DLF's market capitalisation was Rs 35,600 crore and that of Embassy REIT was Rs 33,150 crore. As of now, DLF's market cap is Rs 77,600 crore, a gain of 118 per cent in the past 16 months.
Whereas, Embassy REIT's market cap is now Rs 33,600 crore, a gain of just one per cent in the same period. It's obvious that the initial euphoria surrounding the REIT's IPO died down, which is natural. In the past 16 months, the pendulum has swung to the other side, with investors turning euphoric about real estate stocks, while showing little interest in the two listed REITs.
Actually, there is a flaw in comparing unit prices of REITs with share prices of real estate companies. Most of the income of REITs comes from dividends paid by the underlying SPVs.
These SPVs receive cash flows mainly through rental income from income-generating properties, either residential or commercial. As per SEBI mandate, REITs have to pay out at least 90 per cent of their net distributable cash flows to unitholders on a half-yearly basis.
Whereas, distributions to shareholders from listed companies comprise of dividends and share buybacks. And companies are not mandated to compulsorily pay dividends or undertake share buybacks; unlike REITs which have to distribute 90 per cent of their cash flows.
DLF & Embassy Office Park REIT have a market cap of Rs 35,600 crore & Rs 33,150 crore respectively. 🥺
— RamaKrishna Vadlamudi, CFA (@vrk100) October 8, 2019
Market fancy or irrationality?
Investors seem to be erring on the side of caution based on perceived corporate governance. Of course, there's no penalty for erring on caution.
3) My tweet dated 01Nov2020 about Embassy REIT joining S&P Global Property Index (click on the tweet thread for more details):
https://t.co/LfDJqYFMQB
— RamaKrishna Vadlamudi, CFA (@vrk100) November 1, 2020
Embassy Office Parks REIT (CMP Rs 344; market cap Rs 26,500 crore) will be joining S&P Global Property Index and S&P Global REIT Index effective 02Nov2020. The stock should react Monday morning.
4) My tweet dated 19May2019 with details of Embassy REIT's offer document:
@EnergizeEmbassy 11Mar2019: Embassy Office Parks REIT: Offer Document filed with SEBI: https://t.co/nlUFSBLP6O #REIT - real estate investment trust (Once listed, this REIT will be India's first listed REIT) - Alternative Investments -
— RamaKrishna Vadlamudi, CFA (@vrk100) March 19, 2019
5) DLF expressed its intention to float a REIT back in November 2014. Even after six years, the REIT has still been in the pipeline. It is hoped that its REIT may see the light of the day in 2021. My tweet dated 15Nov2014 about DLF's intention:
DLF to launch REITs, plans Rs 3600 crore CMBS http://t.co/WDMMgA0QZv
— RamaKrishna Vadlamudi, CFA (@vrk100) November 15, 2014
It remains to be seen whether SEBI would allow DLF to launch REITs.
6) My tweet dated 16Aug2014 about REITs' potential if implemented and regulated properly:
A bit surprised by this post! http://t.co/vzFdmRjkHw
— RamaKrishna Vadlamudi, CFA (@vrk100) August 16, 2014
I feel #REITs, if implemented & regulated properly, could be transformative.
7) My tweet dated 13Aug2014 about hurdles to REITs:
Two hurdles to REITs:
— RamaKrishna Vadlamudi, CFA (@vrk100) August 13, 2014
SPV to pay corp tax & tax on dividend distributed to REIT
Immature state of realty industryhttp://t.co/n4sIxBIJYp
8) My tweet dated 10Aug2014 about SEBI approving REIT norms:
Really exciting news! SEBI board has approved norms for REITs.
— RamaKrishna Vadlamudi, CFA (@vrk100) August 10, 2014
9) My tweet dated 11Jul2014 about tax clarity:
The one thing that immensely excited me in this #Budget2014 is this tax clarity on #REITs. Of course, one swallow does not a summer make!
— RamaKrishna Vadlamudi, CFA (@vrk100) July 11, 2014
10) My tweet dated 11Jul2014 about diversification benefits of REITs:
When added to your stock-bond portfolio, #REITs will provide excellent diversification benefits, reducing investment risk & enhancing return
— RamaKrishna Vadlamudi, CFA (@vrk100) July 11, 2014
For more on REITs and my tweets, you can check this: weblink
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Disclosure: I've vested interested in Indian stocks. It's safe to assume I've interest in the stocks discussed, if any.
Disclaimer: The analysis and opinion provided here are only for information purposes and should not be construed as investment advice. Investors should consult their own financial advisers before making any investments. The author is a CFA Charterholder with a vested interest in financial markets. He blogs at:
https://ramakrishnavadlamudi.blogspot.com/
Twitter @vrk100
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